Political Calculations

Posted August 25, 2014

Through the end of 2014, the level of earnings has dropped to a level between what investors had previously expected back on 15 August 2013 and 14 November 2013.

Posted August 24, 2014

During the December 2007-June 2009 recession, the number of jobs at the margins of the U.S. economy increased significantly through the period of major job loss ending in December 2009, even though total employment and the number of Americans employed by non-farm establishments fell.

Posted August 22, 2014

Part time employment started off the recession at 24,758,000, but instead of decreasing as jobs disappeared from the U.S. economy, the number of Americans employed part time increased by 2,721,000 through December 2009.

Posted August 20, 2014

The data suggests that investors have been and are currently focused upon 2015-Q2 in setting today's stock prices, since this quarter marks the period of time at which the Federal Reserve is most likely to act to increase short term interest rates in the U.S. for the first time in several years.

Posted August 18, 2014

Posted August 13, 2014

The number of U.S. companies acting to cut their dividends during July 2014 remained elevated at 15, down slightly from the 16 U.S. companies that took similar actions in June 2014, as recessionary conditions continue to be present in the U.S. economy.

Posted August 12, 2014

When laughing hysterically, it often helps to take a short time out to catch your breath before continuing on with the thing that provoked your laughter. You'll want to pause now, because the carefully selected and limited number of spooky coincidences are discussed next....

Posted August 11, 2014

Posted August 09, 2014

We've long been tracking how American teens, who make up the most marginal of workers in the U.S. economy, have fared with respect to older Americans in the U.S. job market since the total employment level last peaked in November 2007.

Posted August 06, 2014

How differently would the U.S. economy have performed without the Federal Reserve's efforts to stimulate the economy through its most recent Quantitative Easing (QE) programs?

Posted August 04, 2014

The only real randomness in how stock prices behaved was in the timing for when that shift in focus occurred.

Posted August 01, 2014

You can bet that the political activists who mindlessly cite the IDES' data in their calls to crank up the federal government's extended unemployment benefits program will be happy to never see that data updated beyond February 2014.

Posted July 30, 2014

We think we may finally have a decent handle on how to compensate for the echo effect in our forecasting of the S&P 500's future.

Posted July 27, 2014

The feel-good bubble for solar power enthusiasts burst just days later when it became clear that 13-year old had made mistakes in his science work backing his invention.

Posted July 26, 2014

The tiny community web site of the tiny town located on the northwest corner of Long Island, New York announced that a 13-year old Northport Middle School student had applied a principle found in trees that could improve the performance of solar panels...

Posted July 24, 2014

In the chart, we see that North Dakota is currently the leader among all states, surging considerably in 2013. We also see that the state has consistently ranked high by this measure from 1999 through the present.

Posted July 21, 2014

As a case study of how important that aspect of leadership is and how much it is missed when it is lacking, let's consider a day in 2014 when the news of the death of 295 people aboard a Malaysian Airlines 777 commercial airliner became known around 11:30 AM EDT and how U.S. President Barack Obama handled it.

Posted July 20, 2014

This is how the U.S. Federal Reserve can lend more money to the U.S. federal government than the U.S. government appears to have borrowed, even as the Fed is reducing the amount it lends to the government!

Posted July 16, 2014

While that may sound like some sort of psychological issue, for us, that's a real question because of a surprising turn of events last week, when investor expectations for the current quarter of 2014-Q3 suddenly shifted.

TOWNHALL FINANCE DAILY

Get the best of Townhall Finance Daily delivered straight to your inbox

Follow Townhall Finance!