Political Calculations

Posted April 21, 2014

According to preliminary data published by the U.S. Census Bureau, the trailing twelve month average of median sale prices for new homes fell in February 2014 after peaking a month earlier.

Posted April 20, 2014

Early reports indicate that very little has changed for the employment prospects of the long-term unemployed, at least through the first month of their no longer having unemployment benefits, but what has changed would seem to have changed for the better.

Posted April 16, 2014

To avoid getting hit with a larger tax bill than you might otherwise expect when you file your taxes for 2014, how much extra should you have withheld from each of your paychecks today?

Posted April 14, 2014

The number of publicly-traded U.S. companies who announced they would be cutting their dividends during the month of March remained at elevated levels.

Posted April 13, 2014

After 2010 however, the Democratic Party lost control of the U.S. House of Representatives, with one of the outcomes of that loss being that the U.S. federal tax code has grown much more slowly in all the years since.

Posted April 07, 2014

This outcome strongly suggests that there are real diminishing returns to higher education in the United States.

Posted April 06, 2014

How much has the average cost of attending college at four-year degree-granting institution in the U.S. risen since the 1969-1970 school year?

Posted April 04, 2014

We see that in real terms, the median wage or salary earned by American men has stagnated since the early 1970s, even though the percentage of the adult male population in the U.S. who have completed at least four years of college has doubled in that same period of time.

Posted April 02, 2014

Yesterday, we indicated that we have been very busy behind the scenes here at Political Calculations during the past week. That's a bit of an understatement....

Posted March 31, 2014

We don't yet know what level mortgage rates would have to reach to send the trend for median new home sales on a downward trajectory to begin deflating the second bubble. Given how apparently weak the U.S. housing market continues to be, we hope to not find out anytime soon.

Posted March 30, 2014

That we're instead seeing nearly vertical movements for prices with respect to household income indicates that other factors have created a situation where housing is becoming increasingly unaffordable.

Posted March 29, 2014

The Dot-Com Bubble consisted of two major phases: an inflation phase that ran from April 1997 to August 2000, which marked the peak of the bubble, and a deflation phase that ran from August 2000 to June 2003, after which order returned to the market.

Posted March 28, 2014

Given that we are seeing nearly vertical movements for prices with respect to household income indicates that other factors have created a situation where housing is becoming increasingly unaffordable.

Posted March 24, 2014

Multiplied across dozens of large companies, stock buy backs have the potential to affect large market indices, such as the Dow Jones Industrial average or the S&P 500.

Posted March 23, 2014

We just hope that the next time, she points to a future with a more promising outlook for the expectations associated with it.

Posted March 21, 2014

What happens when the new Chair of the Federal Reserve, Janet Yellen, tells investors exactly how far forward in time they need to look for setting their expectations in making their investment decisions today?

Posted March 17, 2014

So we don't think the Great Recession is over quite yet for America's Age 25 and older population.

Posted March 16, 2014

For utility consumers, wind energy is only capable of delivering somewhere between one-fifth to less than one-third of its promise. And even then, it doesn't deliver what it produces when it's really needed.

Posted March 16, 2014

For utility consumers, wind energy is only capable of delivering somewhere between one-fifth to less than one-third of its promise. And even then, it doesn't deliver what it produces when it's really needed.

Posted March 13, 2014

Did you know that the Great Recession ended for Americans Age 25 and older in February 2014? If we're to believe the latest employment situation report, it did.