Political Calculations

Posted April 23, 2015

We've been working behind the scenes here at Political Calculations on how to visually describe the near-real time health of the private sector of the U.S. economy using what is perhaps its simplest and most powerful indicator: the number of U.S. companies acting to cut their dividends.

Posted April 17, 2015

Last week, we featured a number of what we'll call "statistical equilibrium charts" showing the negative break in trend for new jobless claims in the eight states where domestic U.S. oil production has surged in recent years.

Posted April 09, 2015

After following China into recessionary growth levels in January 2015, at least as suggested by the exchange rate adjusted value of goods and services it trades with that nation, the U.S.' economic situation would at first glance have appeared to improve, while China's economic situation deteriorated.

Posted April 08, 2015

Beginning in January 2014, the trajectory of median new home sale prices in the U.S. with respect to median household income began to follow a new trend, with typical new home sale prices increasing at an average pace of nearly $11 for every $1 increase in typical household incomes.

Posted April 07, 2015

New jobless claims, or rather, the weekly tally of seasonally-adjusted initial unemployment insurance claims that are filed by those who have recently been laid off from their jobs, are an important economic indicator that provides a real-time look at the state of the nation's employment situation.

Posted April 03, 2015

On Thursday, we revealed what dividends were saying about the health of the U.S. economy in the first quarter of 2015.

Posted April 01, 2015

Now that we've demonstrated that the passage of the Affordable Care Act has resulted in a declining quality of life for average Americans since 2009, we thought we'd next discuss how that outcome came to pass, but first, we thought we'd first illustrate the trade off that American consumers are being forced to make using a production possibilities frontier curve - perhaps the first time in living memory that such a curve has been developed using real life data!

Posted March 31, 2015

Today, we're going to follow up an observation we made when we examined the major trends for how the consumer spending patterns of Americans has changed from 1984 through the present, where we observed that since 2009, increases in expenditures for health insurance are being paid for by the reduced consumption of entertainment.

Posted March 27, 2015

Some time ago, we recognized that the number of companies acting to cut their dividends each month seemed to be a very good and simple predictor of the near real time state of the U.S. economy.

Posted March 26, 2015

We've been exploring data found in the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Census Bureau's Consumer Expenditure Survey, which has provided a window into the annual consumer expenditures of American households (or rather, "consumer units") since 1984. Today, we thought it was time to take a look at how the major categories of that spending has evolved over the thirty years for which we have data.

Posted March 25, 2015

Unlike a lot of analysts, we've always approached the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, which is perhaps better known as "Obamacare", from the perspective of personal finance.

Posted March 21, 2015

What we discover is that over time, GDP has become less and less indicative of the quality of life of American consumer units/households.

Posted March 11, 2015

Going by the international trade data collected by the U.S. Census Bureau, it appears that the U.S. economy joined China in experiencing contraction in January 2015.

Posted March 07, 2015

That extension in harmful economic policies was made possible by the scorched earth campaign of political protests launched by the state's Democratic party...

Posted March 05, 2015

Where do Americans get the income they earn each year?

Posted February 28, 2015

Aren't Hollywood actors supposed to be among the most ardent supporters of left wing causes?

Posted February 27, 2015

What is the truth behind Gov. Scott Walker's Wisconsin?

Posted February 26, 2015

Of all the things we never expected to find ourselves doing, providing policy guidance to the Federal Reserve is probably at the top of the list.

Posted February 23, 2015

What the world needs now is a better snow plow.

Posted February 19, 2015

How much might President Obama's executive action to "legalize" the immigration status of an estimated 5 million non-U.S. citizens who unlawfully entered the United States cost U.S. taxpayers?