Inquiring minds note China, Germany Plan to Settle More Trade in Yuan, Euros.

Germany and China plan to conduct an increasing amount of their trade in euros and yuan, the two nations said in a joint statement after talks between Chancellor Angela Merkel and Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao in Beijing on Thursday.

"Both sides intend to support financial institutions and companies of both countries in the use of the renminbi and euro in bilateral trade and investments," said the text of the statement.

It also said that both parties welcomed investments in China's interbank bond market by German banks and supported the settlement of business in the yuan by German and Chinese banks and the issuance of yuan-denominated financial products in Germany.

Announcement Mean Anything?

That's the announcement, and I have no doubt people who do not understand trade math will trump this up as if it's news of big significance.

Well, it's not. The announcement is a common sense function of math.

There is more bilateral trade between Germany and China, so fundamentally it makes sense that this agreement would be worked out. Indeed, mathematically, the markets would eventually force such an agreement.

If Germany goes back to the Deutschmark, then one should expect bilateral trade between the countries to be in Deutschmarks and Yuan.

The only relevance to the dollar is if Germany is taking away US trade with China. If not, the announcement is a meaningless function of math.

 

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Mike Shedlock

Mike Shedlock

Mike Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for Sitka Pacific Capital Management.

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4 Comments So Far
Greg1084 Wrote: Sep 02, 2012 10:17 AM
The housing numbers are astounding. The banks and their clients are in a Mexican stand-off. If the banks foreclose, they lose the client and end up owning an empty house that they can't sell. The client wants the bank to deal, but if the bank does a deal, they will lose money and may end up being required by regulators to offer the same deal to everyone else. If the client makes a payment they admit fault, and if they wait long enough the economy may improve to the pint where new buyers may come on the scene and buy their homes out from under them at a deep discount, with the local police taking pictures of the place, ready to prosecute for malicious property damage, if any occurs.
Chris from Kalifornia Wrote: Sep 03, 2012 7:31 AM
We ran out of money and are moving and selling our stuff out as fast as we can because we simply cannot make the payments. We have no money for repairs even. So the damage to the house is normal wear and tear that we simply cannot afford to have done. I'm physically impaired so what would they have us do? Greentree is rude, horribly rude. They got the loan from BofA who acquired Countrywide, the loan originator, with our tax money. They don't talk to us, they call up and yell at us to get caught up or they'll kick us out. They won't listen. We even sent in paperwork to do a deed in lieu and they sat on it till the paperwork was out of date then insisted it was our fault for not including a form they never sent us. That is not helpful.
Joseph64 Wrote: Sep 02, 2012 7:27 AM
It's not meaningless if a large part of that trade consists of commodities that are presently traded ONLY in dollars. Without Germany and China having to do a currency exchange before trading dollar denominated commodities, that reduces demand for dollars and sends some of those dollars back home to us where they become inflationary.
Greg1084 Wrote: Sep 02, 2012 10:10 AM
Good observation. We'll wait and see.