This Week in Data: Housing And Manufacturing

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Posted: Oct 15, 2018 12:31 PM
This Week in Data: Housing And Manufacturing

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.




Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of October 15




October 15




Retail Sales - September

0.5%

0.1

0.6

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.4

0.3

0.4

Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas

0.4

0.2

0.4





NY Fed Manufacturing Index

20.0

19.0

19.3

Business Inventories - August

0.6%

0.6

0.5





October 16




Industrial Production - August

0.3%

0.4

0.2

Capacity Utilization

78.2

78.1

78.2

Manufacturing

0.3

0.2

0.2





NAHB Index

67

67

67

JOLTS - August

6.910

6.939

6.900





October 17




Housing Starts - September

1.230M

1.282

1.228

Building Permits

1.285

1.229

1.280





October 18




Initial Unemployment Claims

216K

214

215

Philadelphia Fed Survey

20.0

22.9

20.3

Leading Indicators 

0.4%

0.4

0.5





October 19




Existing Home Sales - September

5.380M

5.340

5.300





Week of October 22




October 22




Chicago Fed National Activity Index

0.18

0.18






October 23




Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

24

29






October 24




FHFA House Price Index - August

0.3%

0.2


New Home Sales - September

630K

629






October 25




Durable Goods Sales - September

-2.5%

4.4


International Trade in Goods - September

-74.0

-75.8


Wholesale Inventories - September (a)

0.3%

1.0


Pending Home Sale Index - September

104.2

104.2






October 26




GDP - Q3 (a)

3.2%

4.2


Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - October (r)

99.0

99.0