This Week, Manufacturing And Home Sales Reports

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Posted: Feb 19, 2018 9:54 AM
This Week, Manufacturing And Home Sales Reports

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.




Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of February 19




February 21




PMI Manufacturing Flash Index

55.0

55.5

55.0

PMI Services Flash Index

53.5

53.3

53.5





Existing Home Sales - January

5.530K

5.570

5.650





February 22




Initial Unemployment Claims

230K

230

230

Leading Indicators - January

0.4

0.6

0.6

Kansas City Manufacturing Index

18

16

16.5





Week of February 26




February 26




Chicago Fed National Activity Index

0.25

0.25


New Home Sales - January

630K

625


Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

32

33.4






February 27




Durable Goods Orders - January

1.0%

2.8


International Trade in Goods - December

-$72.6B

-71.6


Wholesale Inventories (a)

0.3%

0.4






S&P Case/Shiller Index - December




Twenty City M/M

0.1%

0.2


Twenty City M/M - SA

0.7

0.7


Twenty City Y/Y

6.3

6.4






FHFA Housing Market Index - December

0.4%

0.5


Consumer Confidence Index - February

126.0

125.4


Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

15

14






February 28




GDP - QI (p)

2.5%

2.6


GDP Implicit Price Deflator

2.4

2.4






Chicago PMI - February

66.0

65.7


Pending Home Sales - January

110.1

110.1






March 1








Personal Income - January

0.3%

0.4


Personal Spending

0.3

0.4






PMI Manufacturing Index - February








ISM (Mfg) - February

58.6

59.1


ISM Prices








Construction Spending - January

0.3

0.7






Auto Sales* - February

17.4M

17.16


Car Sales

6.0

5.77


Truck Sales

11.4

11.40


*SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence








March 2




Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (r)

100.3

99.9