Forecasts For The Weeks Of January 15 And 22

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Posted: Jan 15, 2018 9:21 AM
Forecasts For The Weeks Of January 15 And 22

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.



Forecast

Prior Observation

Week of January 15



January 16



NY Fed Manufacturing Index - January

19

18




January 17



Industrial Production - December

0.3%

0.2

Capacity Utilization

77.3

77.1

Manufacturing

0.3

0.2




NAHB Index - January

73

74




January 18



Initial Unemployment Claims

250K

261

Philadelphia Fed Index

23.5

26.2




Housing Starts - December

1.270K

1.297

Building Permits

1.295

1.298




January 19



Michigan Consumer Sentiment - January (p)

97.0

95.9




Week of January 22



January 22



Chicago Fed Natonal Activity Index

0.30

0.15




January 23



Richmond Fed Index

17

20




January 24



FHFA Housing Market Index - November

0.4%

0.5




PMI Manufacturing Flash Index - January

55.0

55.0

PMI Services Flash Index - January

56.0

53.7




Existing Home Sales - December

5.610M

5.810




January 25



International Trade in Goods- December

-$69.0B

-70.0

Wholesale Inventories (a)

0.3%

0.8




New Home Sales - December

650K

733

Leading Indicators

0.3%

0.5




January 26



GDP - Q4 (a)

3.0%

3.2




Durable Goods Orders - December

0.9%

1.3