I watched the debate after it was over.
You can watch the debate by delay on ITV.
Halfway Notes I Sent to a Friend
- I am watching the debate on a delay. I am about halfway through. There is hardly anything to crow about.
- Both side will likely claim victory but I see little reason for any minds to change here.
- The key thing for me is Johnson looks happy and smiling. Corbyn looks miserable, if that matters.
YouGov / Sky News snap chat Poll— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) November 19, 2019
Who performed best
Excluding don’t knows
Just over 1,600 respondents
Finished watching the entire debate.
Who is winning so far?#leadersdebate— Number Cruncher Politics UK (@NCPoliticsUK) November 19, 2019
Also to the Point
Given that 24hr news, especially with social media, will replay any gaffe, misstep, or phrase that could be taken out of context mercilessly and ad infinitum, is it really surprising politicians want to minimise grill time? (I'm not saying it's right, but it's hardly surprising). pic.twitter.com/QerRAQ9VsZ— Matt Singh (@MattSingh_) November 19, 2019
In some (all?) US debates, the audience members have to be undecided voters. Seems like there's a case for that here... https://t.co/BzfkFBPsa2— Matt Singh (@MattSingh_) November 19, 2019
There was a ton of partisan clapping after every answer. They should disallow this.
NEW: everyone knows Corbyn’s unpopularity is a problem for Labour, but I’m not sure people appreciate how bad it is https://t.co/R1DRmBAyRo— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) November 19, 2019
Corbyn’s net satisfaction ratings are at -60, by far the lowest going into an election since @IpsosMORI started tracking this in 1979. pic.twitter.com/3S9ZgACtkn
People are going to believe their guy won nearly all of the time.
But Corbyn is in a huge hole. Who did he sway?
As noted yesterday, Fear of Corbyn Outweighs Fear of Brexit
Take a look at the snap survey following the debate.
Who looks more like a Prime Minister?
Who is more likeable?
Give a small win to Corbyn on trust.
Corbyn won on "being in touch with ordinary people" but will that translate into votes?
For the entire debate, Corbyn looked like a big sourpuss. I do not know if that matters, but perhaps it filtered through in the "likeable" question.
Pick the Winner
It's a poor result.— Mike "Mish" Shedlock (@MishGEA) November 19, 2019
By that I mean what he needed to do vs what he did.
Whose opinion is it going to change?
The ordinary people who were going to vote for Corbyn anyway?https://t.co/Ub0RTO4V2p https://t.co/n02FYHYFW1
Pick your own winner but make sure it does not reflect your bias. I will call this a tie.
But Corbyn needed far better than that.