Dark Days Of Crude

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Posted: Sep 14, 2021 12:56 PM
Dark Days Of Crude

Source: AP Photo/Vahid Salemi, File

Yesterday, after five consecutive down sessions, the market could have packed it in when an early rally began to fade. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite rolled over into the negative column, but buyers finally arrived. So, after watching a lot of NFL Football announcers describe an avalanche of accolades-inducing Marque players being courageous and gutsy, I’ll show some restraint and say it was an encouraging session.

S&P 500 Index

+0.23%

 

Communication Services XLC

+0.25%

 

Consumer Discretionary XLY

+0.25%

 

Consumer Staples XLP

+0.25%

 

Energy XLE

+2.87%

 

Financials XLF

+1.14%

 

Health Care XLV

 

-0.62%

Industrials XLI

+0.26%

 

Materials XLB

 

-0.02%

Real Estate XLRE

+0.56%

 

Technology XLK

+0.03%

 

Utilities XLU

 

-0.18%

Market breadth was ho-hum, as there were more 52-week lows than highs.

Market Breadth

NYSE

NASDAQ

Advancing

2,066

2,218

Declining

1,234

2,167

52 Week High

88

81

52 Week Low

36

91

Up Volume

2.74B

2.55B

Down Volume

1.13B

2.05B

Dark Days of Crude

Yesterday, oil stocks dominated the session, but they underperformed mightily against the S&P 500 over the past five years. During that period, the S&P 500 +106%, Energy (XLE) -11%.

There is no way crude oil stocks should be that far behind the broad market, but for political reasons, as deep-pocketed investors continue to shun them in order to appear as if they are Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) compliant (very few are).


Portfolio Approach

There are no weighting changes this morning to the Hotline Model Portfolio.


Today’s Session

There were some key declines in parts of the CPI report on month-to-month basis:

  • Airfares -9.1%
  • New Vehicles -1.5%
  • Car/Truck Rental -8.5%
  • Lodging away from home -2.9%

Monthly CPI +0.3% consensus +0.4%

Lowest in seven months.

Yearly CPI core +4.0% consensus 4.2%

The headlines put some pep into the market, but those gains are fading a bit. Lately, the market has opened firmly only to stumble into the close.