John Ransom
I like to watch divergences in the market. One of the divergences that is curious right now is the strong upward pressure from the stock market versus the downward pressure of the 10 year treasury.

The benchmark ten year treasury finished down on Tuesday, which means that interest rates have gone up.

With the close at 2.96% that means that the 10 year treasury rates have gone up 100% since May.

And sure some of that is taper talk, some of that Syria, some of it's uncertainty. But that kind of movement in the 10 year treasury market- the benchmark off of which other interest rates are posted- does not portend well for the stock market.

The stock market follows the bond market. Watch where the bond market's going and you'll have a good idea where the stock market will eventually be.

John Ransom

John Ransom is the Finance Editor for Townhall Finance, host of Ransom Notes Radio and you can catch more of the best money advice and monetary commentary by him daily 10am PT, 1pm ET at or on Comcast Cable


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