It’s my job to advocate for spending cuts. It’s a job I’ve been doing in one form or another for over a decade. If I’ve ever experienced a victory, it must have been a pretty small one, because I can’t recall any.

So why do I persist?

For one, I’m a naturally optimistic person. And fueling that optimism is the press. I’m constantly reading about the possibility of spending cuts, and those articles usually say that the cuts would be major … or massive … or severe … or even draconian! The possibility sends a thrill up my leg.

Alas, the “draconian” spending cuts invariably turn out to be not-so-draconian after all. In fact, it’s often the case that reporters are talking about smaller spending increases rather than real spending cuts. Other times, the cuts are likely to only be temporary or come after years and years of increases.

In today’s example, a National Journal article reports that the “unthinkable” could happen: the fiscal 2013 sequestration cuts—just reduced and postponed by the fiscal cliff deal—might actually go into effect March 1st as scheduled:

Republicans and Democrats in the Senate appear to be coming to the same conclusion on spending, namely that once unthinkable, draconian cuts designed to force a more reasonable compromise may be much harder to undo than anyone ever imagined.

How “draconian” would these “unthinkable” cuts be? About $85 billion. To put that in context, the federal government will spend around $3,500 billion ($3.5 trillion) this year. The deficit alone is likely to approach or exceed $1 trillion (the federal government has run a deficit in excess of $1 trillion for four straight years).

If that’s draconian, what would the press call cutting enough spending just to balance the budget?

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Tad DeHaven

Tad DeHaven

Tad DeHaven is a budget analyst at the Cato Institute. Previously he was a deputy director of the Indiana Office of Management and Budget. DeHaven also worked as a budget policy advisor to Senators Jeff Sessions (R-AL) and Tom Coburn (R-OK).

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23 Comments So Far
Arley2 Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 1:46 PM
Maybe the best idea is no spending cuts at all. What if Congress just froze department and agency budgets at the current level for a few years?

Dan Mitchell put a graph in his column a couple of months ago that showed the budget would balance in about five years of SPENDING GROWTH was kept to one percent. So if budgets were frozen they would balance quicker than that.

I think. It's hard to know for sure since our Democrat controlled Senate has prevented Congress from producing a budget for four years now.
natch Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 11:07 AM
A balanced budget is meaningless without a Cut and Cap policy to go with it.
Texas Chris Wrote: Jan 29, 2013 9:20 AM
I disagree. If the fedgov has to tax to balance, then the revolt will be on April 15th.
ggriffeth Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 10:57 AM
What word is bigger than Draconian ( nastier ) ?
natch Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 11:04 AM
Kibitzer Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 10:45 AM
That $85 billion out of $3500 billion cut is less than 2.5%. Now really, do you believe that the government can't withstand a 2.5% reduction in spending, when the budget estimating methods they use are likely not accurate to better than +/- 10% and the estimates are typically biased to the plus side. A 2.5% cut is not draconian.
Texas Chris Wrote: Jan 29, 2013 9:21 AM
I know in my heart that the government needs a 90% cut in spending.

90%.
Zdravko Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 10:36 AM
Man's ingenuity has saved the humanity from a large number of health disasters that used to kill millions; but the deadly sickness of the money printing press has never been conquered. Empires have nor been defeated by armies but by the money printing press - Roman empire, British empire, German empire,...And so will the American empire soon see its own passing.
Joe579 Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 10:06 AM
Who is our banker? Don't put any money in it.
Texas Chris Wrote: Jan 29, 2013 9:22 AM
Do you use dollars? Then you have money in "their" banks...
R.3 Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 10:03 AM
Professional politicians are fully aware of how much attention is really being paid to their shennanigans. We validate it at every election and they repay us by giving us stuff paid for with borrowed money. This nation has become a model of that wonderful mortgage tool know as the "interest only" loan. The problem is when we can no longer pay the interest we have nowhere to go.
Arley2 Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 1:49 PM
That's true.

Right now our debt equals our GDP.

When the interest on that debt equals GDP, history shows "emipires" fail.
goshawk Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 8:38 AM
Mr. DeHaven,

You wrote.. "I encourage journalists who cover federal policy to check out the site to see what real spending cuts are all about."

The problem there is, these journalists do not want to print the truth! They have all become pure propaganda writers for the far left! Misusing the "power of the press" against the American citizens in trying to convince us that our American way of life is all wrong and that they will show us a better life.. Communism!
Joe 145 Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 7:19 AM
People do not want to hear about it. Just look at Greece and Spain. Not to mention that spending other people's money, like politicians do, is a great way to get elected and 'solve problems'.

We re-elected President Obama. This should tell us something on this subject.
binc Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 8:12 AM
It certainly tells me something about over 50% of the population.
Arley2 Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 1:51 PM
Another thing it tells you is that Republicans and Conservative DID NOT GET OUT AND VOTE.

So, in a way we have ourselves to blame for giving the Left free rein to do what they want, and what they want is destructive to our economy.
Timothy32 Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 5:34 PM
The Libertarian and real conservitives did not get out because the party gave them Obama by another name, Its no longer going to work. every four years the left of the republican party says we need one of ours inorder to win. We get no cut more government. get on board with real conservitive/ libertaian also known as a federalist or become a Democrate. you are not going to get the conservitive with a left of center RINO.
JFord Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 6:01 AM
For those interested in the Constitution, Federalist Papers, 2nd amendment, and property rights (check out):

www.constitutionliberty. com

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Thanks.
Pistol Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 5:03 AM
Serious budget cuts, like term limits, will never be supported by politicians, because they are not, presently, in any politician's self-interest. This can be changed overnight by the voters, merely by refusing to vote for any candidate who does not support these actions. If it means losing an election, candidates will not put self-interest above the voters interests. But with a 90 % re-election rate, why should politicians pay any attention to voters? We have exactly the gov't we permit and endorse. Its a pity the wise and foresighted must pay part of the price incurred by the fools, but 'twas ever thus.
Pistol Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 5:06 AM
And small consolation the low information segment will suffer most.
goshawk Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 8:22 AM
Good morning Pistol!

You're exactly right. And the only "serious" cuts that will absolutely work are when we cut these crooked, corrupt politicians from government once and for all!
silentCalfan Wrote: Jan 28, 2013 4:11 AM
As Will Rogers said, "We have the best Congress money can buy." Serious budget cuts are unlikely because spending serves the self-interest of politicians. It's all about the money. When politicians grant a tax break or subsidy to a company, the politician profits too, whether in the form of campaign contributions, payoffs to family members who are lobbyists, insider trading, or some other scam. Greed and corruption rule the system.