Enrique Pena Nieto will be sworn in as Mexico's next president Dec. 1. He will take office at a very interesting point in Mexican history. Mexico is experiencing an economic upturn that may become even more pronounced if Pena Nieto's Institutional Revolutionary Party administration is able to work with its rivals in the National Action Party to enact needed reforms to Mexico's labor, financial and energy laws.

Another arrestor to further expanding Mexico's economy has been the ongoing cartel violence in Mexico and the dampening effect it has had on outside investment and tourism. Pena Nieto realizes that Mexico's economy would be doing even better were it not for the chilling effect of the violence. During his campaign, he pledged to cut Mexico's murder rate in half by the end of his six-year term, to increase the number of federal police officers and to create a new gendarmerie to use in place of military troops to combat heavily armed criminals in Mexico's most violent locations.

According to Mexico's El Universal newspaper, Pena Nieto is also proposing to eliminate the Secretariat of Public Security and consolidate its functions, including the federal police, under the Secretariat of the Interior. This move is intended to increase coordination of federal efforts against the cartels and to fight corruption. The federal police are under heavy scrutiny for the involvement of 19 officers in the Aug. 24 attack against a U.S. diplomatic vehicle in Tres Marias, Morelos state. This incident has long faded from attention in the United States, but the investigation into the attack remains front-page news in Mexico.

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Stewart Scott

Stewart Scott

Stewart Scott is a security analyst for Stratfor.

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13 Comments So Far
El_Loco_JP Wrote: Nov 24, 2012 12:37 AM
Great! If the Mexican economy improves enough, Mexicans will stop illegally invading the U.S. What would be even better, maybe out "poor" will start illegally immigrating to Mexico. Let's see how the Mexicans like it.
q16penn Wrote: Nov 24, 2012 12:14 AM
Sure, many here wanted to impeach 'that foreign born Islamic president' for not getting Congressional approval for starting a war with Libya.

But, did Ronald Reagan get Congressional approval to get 241 American marines killed when he used them as hostages in Beirut, Lebanon in October, 1983?

Did Ronald Reagan get Congressional approval when he invaded Grenada in 1983?

Did George H.W. Bush get Congressional approval when he sent the U.S. Marines into Somalia in December of 1992?

Did George H.W. Bush get Congressional approval when he invaded Panama in 1989?

Did Ronald Reagan get Congressional approval when he armed and sent money to the Contras in Nicaragua?
q16penn Wrote: Nov 24, 2012 12:14 AM
And again, did Ronald Reagan get Congressional approval when he launched his war with Libya in 1986?
Henry_lII Wrote: Nov 23, 2012 11:29 PM
The GOP made a conscious thirty-year choice to build their brand on fear, insecurity, ignorance, religion, division, discredited economic theory, flag-waving, guns and the masterful art of sufficiently inflaming and deceiving people with social issues so that they'll disregard facts, reason and clear evidence that they have been robbed blind by the people they've elected.

The diabolical branding worked well for a long time, especially with the advent of a rabid right-wing propaganda radio and television conservative entertainment complex that glorified stupidity, bloviation, thoughtlessness and held nuance, complexity, and modernity in contempt.
Henry_lII Wrote: Nov 23, 2012 11:29 PM
The entire Republican platform was a big, beautiful empty cliche of freedom from taxes, government, healthcare, education, infrastructure, regulation and interaction with minorities.

Their mythical Whites R Us sensibility was a still photo of 1950's America reflecting their one and only vision of the future.
Henry_lII Wrote: Nov 23, 2012 11:29 PM
They just don't get change - new people, new ideas, new languages, new ways of thinking, new religions, new problems or new solutions. But the only thing constant in the world is change, and that just confuses the reptilian GOP to no end. What's most impressive about the GOP is how their religiosity robs them of any sense of compassion, decency or empathy for others.

The Republican road to redemption will be a long one, because it's difficult to attract voters to embrace you when your actions tell them you hate them.
Barskor Wrote: Nov 23, 2012 1:37 PM
So how is that War on Drugs working out for you? Mexico should just decriminalize the drugs and prosecute the murders and abductions the cartels will see them as less profitable and phase out involvement. Mexico will save hundreds of Billions in corruption costs and the USA will get better drugs for the idiots the politicians in the USA will get bigger pay offs with increased profits and the banks will Launder more drug money paying only a faction of the profit if caught like Wells Fargo did
Larry1764 Wrote: Nov 23, 2012 11:28 AM
I'm not sure that all your readers will see the seriousness of what you say about the general society in Mexico accepting corruption as inevitable and therefore there is little hope that the military and police forces can be freed of corruption. In my 8 years in that country as a Christian missionary, the corruption was so pervasive - even to not being able to convince seminary students or any national leaders of Christian movements to regard some lying or cheating or stealing as "necessary to survive." Unless we can get people convince to become totally honest persons ¿what chance will there be for reforming any system?
Larry1764 Wrote: Nov 23, 2012 11:29 AM
(I meant "convince them to NOT regard those things as necessary).
rpexplorer Wrote: Nov 23, 2012 11:11 AM
All very true but it neglects the affect of the changes in the customer base. With states moving towards legalization and increased regulation, the market over time will disappear as will the cartels that serve it. Mexico has already stated that it will reevaluate its position in view of the change in the U.S. Growth in Mexico has a long way to go and perhaps it will learn the lesson that the U.S. is now teaching of what not to do to remain successful.
PaulBrown Wrote: Nov 23, 2012 10:20 AM
I find it interesting that you two find it necessary to give more of the USA away and also go back to 1986 in order to find reason to support or not support your country. Both of you need to return to your liberal schools and forget about showing up on, "join the debate", when you are both lost souls. What has been done in just the last (4) four years, NOTHING. What will be done in the next (4) four years, again, NOTHING. A__ kissing as usual.
Geronimo1958 Wrote: Nov 23, 2012 9:11 AM
They should get the amnesty and be welcome in US, as our government with ally GOP is planning. We then become one happy corrupted "familia".
airing Wrote: Nov 23, 2012 7:56 AM
9. Ronald Reagan vetoed a comprehensive anti-Apartheid act. which placed sanctions on South Africa and cut off all American trade with the country. Reagan's veto was overridden by the Republican-controlled Senate. Reagan responded by saying "I deeply regret that Congress has seen fit to override my veto," saying that the law "will not solve the serious problems that plague that country."