Today, we're updating our ongoing statistical analysis of the major trends in the weekly number of new jobless benefit claims in the U.S. since the end of 2005.

The big change is that since our last major update in April 2012, we've seen the end of one primary trend, gone through another, and have now started a third. Goodbye Trend I. Sayonara Trend J. Hello, Trend K!

Primary Trends in Seasonally-Adjusted Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims, 7 January 2006 - 8 September 2012
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3 Comments So Far
olddog39 Wrote: Sep 17, 2012 2:45 PM
Note that Trend E is roughly the start of Obama's Administration and almost all downhill from there. Pretty much all within 3 sigma downhill, very few blips or bumps in the road. That's the direction of the economy- no real upturn as they claim.
None1257 Wrote: Sep 17, 2012 12:00 PM
If the people who work for the govenrment are so smart, that they know how to get us out of the mess we are in, why weren't they smart enough to avoid the mess we are in?
Greg1084 Wrote: Sep 17, 2012 7:24 AM
Send a copy to TPM, I'm sure they are unaware of this. Or at least pretend to be.