Political  Calculations

Upon which income earners will fall the greatest burden of paying the greatest tax burden from the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (aka "ObamaCare")?

To find out, we tapped our detailed income distribution data for individuals for the year 2010, the most recent year for which it is available (the data for 2011 will be published in September 2012). We then took Henry Blodget's description of how ObamaCare's mandate penalty tax is calculated, then multiplied the amount of tax that would have to be paid for a given level of total money income by the number of people we estimate earned it in 2010!

Here's what we found:

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-N8EEZg4Sm3Y/UAxk7JEb95I/AAAAAAAAFlE/W_l18EklL4A/s1600/2010-obamacare-mandate-tax-distribution-total-money-income-individuals-age-15-up.png

Two quick notes:

  • Over 90% of the burden of ObamaCare will be paid by individuals with incomes below $200,000.
  • Over one third of the burden will fall upon people with incomes between $9,500 and $37,300, whose ObamaCare tax will be a flat $695 beginning in 2016.

Of course, the alternative to paying the ObamaCare mandate tax is to have health insurance, either on your own or through your employer, which in 2011, cost $5,429 on average for Single coverage and $15,073 for Family coverage in 2011. Henry Blodget describes the "maximum" tax that might have to be paid by high income individuals:


Political Calculations

Political Calculations is a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics.

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