“The most important lesson in life is… ” — Jim Rogers
About 50 of us currently on the FreedomFest Asian cruise heard famed financial guru Jim Rogers (“The Adventure Capitalist”) speak on his living in Singapore and your latest investment advice. He is an old friend who, as the former partner of George Soros, made millions of dollars in a joint hedge fund. Rogers traveled the world in the early 2000s as told in his book “Investment Biker.” My favorite book is “Street Smarts,” which can be ordered from Amazon.
Rogers and I have two things in common — we both have taught at Columbia Business School and we share the same birthday, Oct. 19. Thus, we are known as the “crash babies.”
Now he lives with his wife and two young children in Singapore, where they are learning Mandarin Chinese. He believes that just as the future belonged to the British in the 19th century and the Americans in the 20th century, so the Chinese will own the 21st century. But he still feels that the dollar is king and English is the language of international commerce. Yet he warns that the United States is in danger of being a Third World country in terms of infrastructure of education. The Asians are more advanced now than the United States (except in places like Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines).
Rogers is a generally a bear on the stock market and bullish on commodities, but he’s not invested in gold right now. He hopes to see it under $1,000 an ounce. But he did warn of another crisis coming in the “next two or three years.” The dollar will be the safe haven at that time, but in the long term he’s bearish on the dollar. China will have its share of crises, he said, just like America in the 19th century suffering from civil war and numerous panics. He’s keen on education.
My grandson asked Jim Rogers the question, “Do you recommend any small-cap stocks for small people?”
My Asian tour’s next stop is Hong Kong (where I will be having lunch with Richard Yong, a top economist at the University of Hong Kong), before going to Taiwan and Japan. I’ll have a follow-up report in the coming days.
Interesting fact: All of the Asian countries have been growing much faster than the United States since the 2008 financial crisis, but all of the emerging markets except one (Thailand) have underperformed the U.S. stock market. It just goes to show that Wall Street is not Main Street. In my newsletter, I’m not recommending any index funds in Asia, although that might change. Wall Street is where the action is.
At the end of his talk, I asked Rogers what the most important lesson was that he’s learned in life. He said, “Having children — they are more important than anything else you do in life, your career, your business, your friends.”
You Blew It! Bottleneck to Paradise in Thailand?
I took my family to Thailand on our way to our FreedomFest Asian cruise. We were hosted by two wonderful friends in Bangkok who work for the state department there.
We spent two wonderful days seeing the sights. We rode elephants in a river, climbed waterfalls in a national forest and had dinner overlooking the famous Bridge over the River Kwai (subject of one of my favorite films). The next day we saw the magnificent Imperial Palace.
The only problem was the infamous Bangkok traffic — what a nightmare. If you didn’t drive into the city before 7 am, you expect to spend hours and hours in bumper-to-bumper traffic jams. There were tolls every once in a while, but no toll lanes, no HOV lanes, no peak pricing to deal with the laissez faire transportation system. And that was with people driving practically on the sidewalks. And it didn’t help with the protesters blocking several main roads in and out of the city.
What a contrast when we arrived in Singapore. The government there has set up peak pricing to control traffic and charges a hefty fee just to own an automobile. There are virtually no traffic jams in this city-state. It works and the Fraser Institute rates Singapore #1 in the world in economic freedom (though not in political freedom). Is there a lesson there for Thailand and the United States?
In case you missed it, I encourage you to read my e-letter column from last week aboutmy brief thoughts on Gross Output, cybersecurity, private equity and education.