It’s About to Get Worse for Democrats, A Lot Worse

John Ransom
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Posted: May 31, 2014 12:01 AM
It’s About to Get Worse for Democrats, A Lot Worse

Medical research has indicated that people like schizophrenics, or people suffering from mania, cannot distinguish between voices outside of themselves and the self-talk that goes inside their head. It’s just a simple biologic matter of that particular brain not being able to make that distinction.

Democrats have that same problem.

And here’s why: the only voices that are truly outside Democrats’ heads are voices from the opposition that they pay no attention to.

Criticism to Democrats is like a dog whistle. They just can’t hear that frequency.

The media, the bureaucracy, the economists, the government funded nongovernmental organizations and academia all speak inside the Democrat brain. And Democrats can’t distinguish this internal self-talk from legitimate outside praise.

So like people who suffer from delusions, it’s just a simple matter of Democrats not being able to make the distinction between self-talk and reality.

Yesterday on Ransom Notes Radio we ran a clip of Mike McKee, the eternal optimist for Bloomberg (media), talking about how the numbers indicated that we could be looking at 4% annual growth in GDP this quarter.

Of course I made fun of him, and today it's hard for me to see how recent consumer spending numbers would be consistent with that type of robust GDP growth. We have yet to see sustained economic growth under the Obama administration, or the Carter administration for that matter.

For the second day in a row the Commerce Department released numbers that caught economist off guard and demonstrated once again that all the "happy talk" about the economy is premature. In April consumer expenditures fell rather than rose, as economist widely expected. From Bloomberg:

Household purchases, which account for about 70 percent of the economy, dropped 0.1 percent, the first decrease in a year, after a revised 1 percent gain the prior month that was the strongest reading since August 2009, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. The median forecast of 77 economists in a Bloomberg survey called for a 0.2 percent April rise. Incomes advanced 0.3 percent after climbing 0.5 percent.

And since they can't blame the weather in April, what's the rationale to explain how they missed the decline in consumer spending? They blame the weather of course-- again.

Economists are saying the pent-up demand in March--because of the terrible winter weather prior to that-- skewed the numbers upward, and that in April we are just coming back to a more realistic spending pattern.

“A lot of pent-up activity took place in March and now we’re coming back to more normal levels of spending,” said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Pierpont Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut. Stanley was one of economists who correctly predicted the decline. “The risk at this point is that the consumer is falling back into a pattern of mediocre spending growth.”

And herein we see the problem: I don't know what alternate reality economist live in, but certainly a 1/10% drop in consumer spending isn't mediocre spending growth. Either Stanley or I have the math wrong here. So if I carry the 2, divide by 13, use only whole numbers... yes: a drop in consumer spending is STILL the opposite of growth.

Yet, the media, the bureaucracy, the economists, the government funded nongovernmental organizations and academia are only hearing their self-talk inside the Democrat brain.

We are six years into this same pattern. And the Democrat brain is still saying the same things, even though the reality says something very different.

The bond market is telling us that this economy is in trouble. Stock markets do rally during recessions, so don’t take this market top as a sign that everything’s great. And… inflationary pressures are beginning to heat up a little bit. Get ready for stagflation. Oh, wait, it's already here.

At what point do Democrats start to scramble for self-preservation? Because if the pattern holds true, this economy is going down, not up. Quantitative Easing, at least in the short term, made up a bit for all of the policy initiatives from Democrats that killed jobs.

Those days are over, as even the liberals at the Fed have indicated.

And as I pointed out, mid-terms are coming up…really soon.

I truly believe that the Democrats can no longer distinguish between their own internal self-talk and reality.

And that’s why before these things get a little better, things are getting a lot worse.