How about all those solutions to the housing crisis put forward by Obama and Romney during the debates?

We actually should celebrate because there are no proposals. It was government manipulation of credit markets, social engineering, and GSE’s Fannie and Freddie that caused the housing collapse. The solutions implemented by the Obama administration only prove Reagan correct; the more the plans fail, the more the planners plan.

Had the housing market been left alone to self-correct we could be well on the way to recovery. Not to be when the central planners and the central bankers have their arms up to their shoulders into the housing business.

Tax credits for first time buyers, then expanded to move up buyers was the housing markets cash for clunkers moment. Rapid activity followed by a slump.

The question becomes what should we do, what is the solution to the housing market crisis?

Time for an adult conversation; it is what it is. Time to pay for the politician’s folly. Allow the market to self-correct and start by repealing the Dodd Frank law that has the wheels of the mortgage industry grinding to a halt under unnecessary compliance requirements, ridiculous lending guidelines, and punishment to lenders and appraisers for making bad loans or appraisals.

Order banks to release the shadow inventory of millions of homes being held back from the market. Yes that will drive down prices, however only until the inventory is absorbed. What good does it do to hold back inventory when millions more foreclosures are in the pipeline and millions more homeowners are ninety days or more delinquent?

Won’t that favor the investment class? Yes, people with money big or small who are prudent stewards of their finances will get the buys of a century. So what? Better than the taxpayer remaining on the hook.

Think of what Bernanke is doing to the dollar with his Twisting, QEternity, and printing presses. Businesses are sitting on $1.4 trillion why? They see financial Armageddon approaching; hyperinflation, fiscal cliff, Obamacare, and danger to their business if Obama gets reelected.   

The same is true for housing as the dollar, both are mirages. There is no recovery in housing any more than QE3 is creating jobs. It will take the thinning of the money supply to restore the value of the dollar, and it will take the thinning of the housing inventory to restore home values.

Time for the pain, the sooner we start, the faster we finish.

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Fritz Pfister

Fritz Pfister

Fritz began his Real Estate career in 1987 and has been with RE/MAX since 1989.

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12 Comments So Far
benjamin5 Wrote: Oct 22, 2012 10:25 PM
Please site your source for this George Carlin quote.
Uncle Mike Wrote: Oct 20, 2012 11:41 PM
For every fifty headlines I scan on the Internet I read only one. I'm glad I took the time to read this one! Your point is well taken, Mr. Pfister.
Fuzzy2 Wrote: Oct 20, 2012 1:56 PM
Fannie, Freddie, Dodd-Frank. I've been saying for years - banks need to lend their own money. If they did, they could make the rules regarding risk. As Chris said below "hard money.

Here is what it costs to get hard money now: 35% down payment and nearly 17% interest rate. That is the REAL rate environment. That is how people lending their own money feel about the risk environment right now. Does that tell you anything?
Fuzzy2 Wrote: Oct 20, 2012 2:02 PM
That is a lot of risk being sent right to Fannie & Freddie so they can get stuck with it. And why wouldn't they? The government will just bail them out forever.
Fuzzy2 Wrote: Oct 20, 2012 2:04 PM
BTW - hard money lenders don't give a cr*p what your credit score is.
same10 Wrote: Oct 20, 2012 12:16 PM
The three men involved in those house loans who received the most re-election contributions were Frank, Dodd and Obama.
Snarkasterous1 Wrote: Oct 20, 2012 12:56 PM
Hmmm.....odd that the MSM has somehow failed to note, and to report, that libbies were the primary drivers of the housing bubble and subsequent collapse. Strange....truly...

- Snark
Texas Chris Wrote: Oct 20, 2012 10:41 AM
The real subjects unheard are the Federal Reserve, and the NDAA. Our weakening currency and our eroding freedoms will be the doom of the federal government, eventually.

And I'm not sure that's a bad thing.
Gordon242 Wrote: Oct 20, 2012 8:14 AM
CAN BOB SCHIEFFER OF CBS BE TRUSTED AS AN UNBIASED MODERATOR ?
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CBS HAS A POOR REPUTATION FOR BEING FAIR AND UNBIASED.
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REMEMBER THAT'S WHERE DAN RATHER CAME FROM.
johnm h Wrote: Oct 20, 2012 8:01 AM
Right on all points. Recession is part of the cure to malinvestment. Instead Obama and more importantly the Fed have fed a new bubble without allowing the first to cure itself. We go from one government caused malinvestment to the next and won't cure these ever deepening cycles until we stop causing them.
Greg1084 Wrote: Oct 20, 2012 8:19 AM
The trick is to make things smaller so the cycles are contained regionally. Big government is like having all your eggs in one basket: TBTF.
Texas Chris Wrote: Oct 20, 2012 10:40 AM
It can be smaller even than "regional" containment. It can be on a firm-by-firm basis, but not with the Federal Reserve printing like mad, and not with fractional reserve banking.

If we base our monetary system on fraud (banks lending what they do not have), then we will never have a shock-proof system, because ALL fractional reserve banks are necessarily insolvent.

We need savings-based capital; market-determined interest rates; hard money.