I didn't get to comment on
Nabors Industries ' (NYSE: NBR) quarterly
results last week, but here's the gist of that company's
conference call: The numbers were even worse than management
expected, but this looks like the bottom. Things will improve
modestly for a while, and then get a whole lot better.
Yesterday, fellow land driller
Patterson-UTI (Nasdaq: PTEN) reported its own
soft drilling service results. While the firm's average rig
count lifted to 73 from last quarter's 63, daily rig revenue
fell more than 5% sequentially. Average daily costs rose, on
account of fewer rigs on standby (i.e.
getting paid not to drill). These effects whittled
contract drilling margins down to 37%, from well over 40%
last year.
Patterson's pressure pumping business, in which excess
capacity and resulting price competition has impacted folks
like
Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB) and
Halliburton (NYSE: HAL), actually fared much
better. The segment performed a lot more stimulation jobs
this quarter, with an emphasis on horizontal completions with
more frac stages. Average revenue per job increased almost
$1,000, and segment revenue popped 24% sequentially.
Patterson sees momentum building in places like the Marcellus
shale, which should be clear to Fools keeping an eye on
E&Ps like
Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK) or
Range Resources (NYSE: RRC). This activity
bodes well for drillers like
Helmerich & Payne (NYSE: HP), pressure
pumpers like
Superior Well Services , and of course
Patterson, which does both.
Overall, Patterson says its expectations going forward are
"far rosier than they were three short months ago."
That's a sentiment likely shared by many in the industry,
and a lot of it has to do with the oil price rebound. I've
personally got little confidence in the story told by the oil
futures curve, given the preponderance of noncommercial
players in the mix, not to mention the commodity's sky-high
negative correlation with the dollar. We'll see how things
look in another three months.
This article was originally published as
Patterson Ponders a Drilling Pickupon
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