Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Toby Shute :: Townhall.com Columnist
Checking In on Deepwater Demand
by Toby Shute
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The last time we took a look at the level of rates charged by deepwater contract drillers, Transocean (NYSE: RIG) showed that near-term availability continues to command a premium in this market. The company pulled downa handsome $530,000 dayratefrom Noble Energy (NYSE: NBL) for work in the Mediterranean Sea, beginning in September 2010. That followed on the heelsof a $510,000-per-day contract award by Petrobras (NYSE: PBR) for a multiyear spin on the Cajun Express.

These rates are well off Transocean 's (NYSE: RIG) record rateawarded by Eni (NYSE: E) last year, but they're still princely sums.

This week, Transocean landed a contract for the last of its ultra-deepwater (i.e., 7,500 feet or more of water depth) rigs with availability in 2010. The Deepwater Horizonhas made waves lately, drilling a well to record depth in the discovery of BP 's giant gusherin the deepwater Gulf of Mexico. Clearly satisfied with the rig's performance, BP has signed a three-year contract extension at $544 million, or around $497,000 a day.

That's about a 6% slip from the rate Transocean got with Noble, but it's important to note that that award only covered 15 months of activity. BP got a slightly lower rate by offering some significant terms on this deal. Transocean shareholders should be quite pleased with this arrangement.

For anyone long the drillers, be it Noble (NYSE: NE), Atwood Oceanics (NYSE: ATW), or Pride International (NYSE: PDE), the key at this point is to watch contract awards for the "out" years, meaning 2011 and beyond. That's the true test of ongoing deepwater demand. I have a hunch about where rates are headed, but I'm interested to hear what you think.

This article was originally published as Checking In on Deepwater Demandon Fool.com

Copyright © 2009 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved.

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Toby Shute is a Motley Fool contributor.

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