Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Robert Steyer :: Townhall.com Columnist
Investors Bet on Red for Casino Stocks
by Robert Steyer
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A crimson tide of sinking stocks swept the casino industry Tuesday, including double-digit percentage declines for giants like MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM), Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS), and Wynn Resorts (Nasdaq: WYNN).

The industry was hit by soft numbers in a third-quarter report from Wynn,whose stock fell 11%. Boyd Gaming (NYSE: BYD), whose stock dropped 17.8%, reported third-quarter earnings and revenue below the year-ago period. WMS Industries (NYSE: WMS), which makes and sells slot machines and video lottery terminals, watched its stock get pulled downwith those of its customers.

By midday Wednesday, most casino and gambling technology stocks were falling into the red, although not at Tuesday's double-digit depths. Still, some of the big boys were getting hammered badly.

How short is the short term?
For investors, the question is whether Tuesday's decline represented sector rotation, a Wall Street term that reflects a portfolio manager's urge to grab profits while he can and move cyclically to new industries as he sees fit. Or is there a deeper concern that the economy and the casino industry aren't recovering as quickly or robustly as casino executives had hoped?

In an industry where investors can respond quickly to rumorsas well as reality, the simplest explanation is that they reacted to several events in the context of previous, huge run-ups for major stocks.

Among stocks that soared from March and have since come back down to earth, Wynn closed on Tuesday at $56.13, compared with a Sept. 29 close of $73.25. Las Vegas Sands, which issues third-quarter results on Thursday, closed at $14.31 on Tuesday, down from a $19.27 close on Sept. 22.

Several casino operators, including MGM Mirage and Boyd Gaming, have slipped into single digits again. Pinnacle Entertainment (NYSE: PNK) also has returned to single digits, joining Melco Crown Entertainment (Nasdaq: MPEL) and Isle of Capri Casinos .

Confidence? Exuberance? Whistling past the graveyard?
Casino executives continue to approach the economy with a mix of caution, optimism, and their desire to expand their empires. "All things considered, this isn't as bad as it might have been," Steve Wynn told analysts on Tuesday. Continued...

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