Wynn Resorts (Nasdaq: WYNN) delivered a
third-quarter financial report Tuesday that should remind
investors to look beyond the headlines and even Wall Street's
forecasts.
Wynn's earnings per share of $0.33, excluding one-time
items, easily beat the Wall Street consensus of $0.15, while
its revenue of $773.1 million topped the average estimate by
$30 million and passed the year-ago quarter's $769.2
million.
So why was the stock getting pounded Tuesday -- off nearly
9% in midday trading? Let's count the ways.
Year-over-year revenue comparisons don't give a clear
picture because 2009's third quarter includes revenue from
Wynn Encore in Las Vegas, which opened in late December 2008,
while the year-ago period doesn't. On a
GAAPbasis, Wynn earned $0.28 per share during the
July-September quarter, compared with $0.49 for the year-ago
period. With that in mind, things don't look so great
anymore, at least not on the surface.
Macau revenue falls
Wynn's
stock rose sharplyin the third quarter, prompted in part
by reports that the Chinese government had eased travel
restrictions and that aggregate gambling revenue for Macau
casinos had
climbed during this period.
However, Wynn reported that third-quarter revenue from
Macau dropped to $448.5 million, from $474.8 million for the
year-ago period. That may seem strange, because its hotel
occupancy rate rose three percentage points to 89.2% and the
ultra-important revenue per available room rose slightly to
$235 from $234. But when revenue falls, no one's paying
attention to the occupancy rate.
Looking forward, Wynn reaffirmed that it expects to open
its Encore at Wynn Macau, a resort and casino complex, during
the first half of 2010. The company
recently completedan IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange
for 25% of its Macau operations.
Caution ahead
Wynn's results should alert investors in other casino
operators doing business in Macau, whose stocks also enjoyed
strong gains during the third quarter. There's been much hype
about IPOs and market share in Macau, but none of it will
translate well if revenues are falling.
Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) issues
third-quarter results Thursday and
MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) makes its report next
week. Continued... |