Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) appears to be
moving closer to an initial public offering (IPO) for a piece
of its Macau operation in an environment that offers both
enthusiasm and caution.
The
South China Morning Postsaid Wednesday that Las
Vegas Sands could reach the market with an IPO as big as $2.5
billion (U.S.) on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange by
November.
The enthusiasm for a
Las Vegas Sands IPOis due in part to the strong support
for
Wynn Resorts ' (Nasdaq: WYNN) recent IPO on
the Hong Kong Stock Exchange of 25% of its Macau subsidiary.
Wynn's IPO, which raised $1.6 billion, came in at the
high endof the underwriters' offering range. The stock
price has advanced since last week's opening.
More visitors, more money
Other encouraging signs include a statement by Francis
Lui, chairman of Chinese casino operator
Galaxy Entertainment , that there have been
year-over-year revenue gainsin Macau gambling for July
and August. In addition, he expects the rest of the year to
continue on a successful track.
Investors will have to wait for third-quarter results from
Wynn, Las Vegas Sands,
Melco Crown Entertainment (Nasdaq: MPEL), and
MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) to assess benefits
from the relaxing of travel restrictions between China's
mainland and Macau. It will be helpful to see how much of the
overall Macau revenue gain came from Melco Crown's opening of
a
major casinoin June.
More government restrictions
It's the unpredictable nature of the Chinese government
that brings caution to forecasts about a Las Vegas Sands IPO,
or any other gambling event in Macau. For instance, on
Monday, government officials discussed new gambling
restrictions with executives of the casino operators in Macau
-- the four mentioned above plus
SJM Holdings and Galaxy Entertainment
, which are traded on the
Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Initial media accounts resulted
in sinking shares of Las Vegas Sands and other U.S. casino
operators in Macau.
However, investors overreacted to the concrete proposals.
Raising the gambling age to 21 from 18 and keeping slot
machines out of residential neighborhoods won't hurt the
high-roller plans of the U.S. companies.
Tough to predict
The main wild card was the government's decision to
"review the scale of the industry, including the number of
gaming tables."
It was unclear how, or if, this review would affect
soon-to-open casinos, such as
Wynn Encore,and casinos for which construction has been
suspended (Las Vegas Sands) or decelerated (Galaxy
Entertainment). And what about situations in which operators
have obtained, or are seeking, land for casinos but haven't
received the necessary government approvals or haven't
started construction?
There are many issues and many difficult questions to
answer; so let's worry about them another day. The truth is,
in the short term, they shouldn't affect Las Vegas Sands'
IPO. The best news: The IPO will give Chairman and CEO
Sheldon Adelson some extra money to help finance additional
Macau ambitions.
This article was originally published as
Get Ready for the Next Macau IPOon
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