Is it possible to find a bright spot amid the drumbeat of
dreary data for Atlantic City's casinos, hit by a prolonged
slump that led to a 15.1% drop in revenue for the first eight
months of the year versus the year-ago period?
The only good news for equity investors is that there
aren't many equity investors affected by Atlantic City's
woes. (Bondholders should be fretting, though.)
However, equity holders should be upset with the
apparently healthiest casino, Borgata, which is owned by
MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) and
Boyd Gaming (NYSE: BYD). During the second
quarter, Borgata was the
best of the bunchbecause it was the only casino with a
better operating profit versus the year-ago quarter. But new
data from the state of New Jersey shows Borgata endured an
11.2% revenue decline in August versus a year ago.
Collective revenue from the city's 11 casinos dropped
16.3% in August, affecting the many privately held
properties, including four owned by
Harrah's Entertainment, as well as three
owned by the
publicly traded but bankrupt
Trump Entertainment.
The causes
Atlantic City is no different that any other venue that
has been hit by
cuts in consumer spending. The Las Vegas Strip, where MGM
Mirage duels with
Wynn Resorts (Nasdaq: WYNN) and
Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS), recorded an
11.1% drop in revenue in July versus July 2008.
But Atlantic City faces challenges from neighboring
states, especially as Pennsylvania adds more gambling sites,
such as Las Vegas Sands' slots-only
casino in Bethlehem. Experts say Pennsylvania is draining
some gamblers from New York, Philadelphia, and northern New
Jersey who might have traveled to Atlantic City.
(Pennsylvania doesn't allow table games.)
Initial Bethlehem results look promising. The Sands
casino, which opened in late May, reported $20.2 million in
revenue in August. That was fifth among nine Pennsylvania
commercial gambling outlets, most of which offer slot
machines at racetracks.
More competition
More unwelcome news is on the way. Delaware just
launched sports betting at its three racetracks -- including
one owned by
Dover Downs Gaming & Entertainment (NYSE:
DDE) -- which also offer slot machines. It's too early to
assess the impact, and betting is restricted to multigame
wagers.
In this environment, Atlantic City offers a lesson about
other gambling towns, too, where flat or shrinking revenue is
being split among a fixed or growing number of players. As
for bond and stock investors, you don't have to bet against
Atlantic City's casinos. You can simply bet around them.
This article was originally published as
Atlantic City Takes a Beatingon
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