Ah, the joys of a duopoly.
Despite a recession and slumping U.S. beer shipments, the
largest beer producers will raise their prices. They are
convinced that enough customers will keep raising their
glasses that the brewmasters can raise revenue, profit, and
share prices.
So what if they raise the hackles of customers? They know
they can get away with it because of their market power. The
Budweiser, Miller, and Coors families of brands account
for about 80%of the U.S. beer market.
They haven't described the size of their increases, but
Anheuser-Busch InBev (OTC BB: AHBIY.PK) and
the U.S. joint venture of
Molson Coors (NYSE: TAP) and
SABMiller (OTC BB: SBMRY.PK) will act this
fall in most of their markets, according to
The
Wall Street Journal.
The price increases will arrive as beer volumes
decline or remain stablecompared to year-ago periods. The
forecast for the U.S. is a
slower volume growth ratefor 2009-2012 compared with
2004-2008.
They've done it before
Last year, when Molson Coors and SABMiller created a
U.S. joint venture,the main goals were cutting costs and
streamlining administration. The venture and InBev's takeover
of Anheuser-Busch last year created a climate that is not
conducive to price wars in order to gain market share.
Boosting prices in a crippled economy has worked as
recently as last year. While Anheuser-Busch was still
independent, it successfully imposed higher prices in
September and October for most markets in the U.S. Similarly,
the joint venture said a fourth-quarter price increase
produced more revenue in a "softened" U.S. market.
An epidemic of pricing power
Other international brewers, including those with big
exports to the U.S., aren't letting the recession get in the
way of decisions.
Grupo Modelo, Mexico's biggest brewer and maker of the
leading U.S. import brand, Corona,recently told Bloomberg
News that it would hold the line on prices even though the
recession is causing some U.S. drinkers to trade down to
cheaper beers.
Grupo Modelo exports Corona to the U.S. via a joint
venture with
Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ).
Anheuser-Busch InBev owns 50.2% of Grupo Modelo, although the
Mexican company's board retains operational control. Continued... |