Wednesday, December 09, 2009
Rich Smith :: Townhall.com Columnist
This Just In: Upgrades and Downgrades
by Rich Smith
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At The Motley Fool, we poke plenty of fun at Wall Street analysts and their endless cycle of upgrades, downgrades, and "initiating coverage at neutral." So you might think we'd be the last people to give virtual ink to such "news." And we would be -- if that were all we were doing.

But in "This Just In," we don't simply tell you what the analysts said. We'll also show you whether they know what they're talking about. To help, we've enlisted Motley Fool CAPS, our tool for rating stocks and analysts alike. With CAPS, we track the long-term performance of Wall Street's best and brightest -- and its worst and sorriest, too.

And speaking of the best ...
By all accounts, this is shaping up to be a horrible year for clothing retailers. Yet Warren Buffett just upped his stakein Walmart Stores (NYSE: WMT), and on Tuesday, Standpoint Researchinitiated coverage on Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO) with a "buy" rating – saying "The market has over-reacted to bad news."

It gets a Fool to wondering, might there be value in retail after all?

Let's go to the tape
At first glance, Standpoint's record might lead you to doubt it. Although ranked in the top 5% of investors we track on CAPS, Standpoint has relied heavily on the mining sectorto power its outperformance – going three-for-three on its recommendations of RTI International , Century Aluminum (Nasdaq: CENX), and Alcoa (NYSE: AA). Meanwhile in retail, Standpoint resembles the slow kid who somehow managed to reach the front row outside a Black Friday sale – soon as the doors opened, Standpoint got trampled:

 Stock

Standpoint Says:

CAPS says:

Standpoint's Picks Beating
(Lagging) S&P By:

Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN)

Outperform

**

(41 points)

CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS)

Outperform

****

(14 points)

Crocs

Outperform

*

(11 points)

Deckers (Nasdaq: DECK) Continued...

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About The Author

Rich Smith is a business writer with the Motley Fool.

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