Can
Boeing (NYSE: BA)
turn it around? And if so,
how long must we wait?
According to Monday's
Wall Street Journal, the plane-maker could reverse
its fortunes in just a few days, if all goes as planned and
the
Dreamlinermakes a successful test flight next week. Or
(also according to the
WSJ), it could take much longer. Customers ranging
from
Delta (NYSE: DAL),
Continental (NYSE: CAL), and
AMR (NYSE: AMR) here in the States, all the
way 'round the globe to first-in-line 787-taker All Nippon
Airways (ANA), have waited years to see the 787 take
flight.
But even after (if?) it the 787 succeeds next week, Boeing
still has miles to fly before it sleeps. An FAA certification
process that ordinarily
can take 12 monthsor more to complete, Boeing aims to
fast-track in just eight months, delivering its first plane
to ANA before the end of 2010.
That's the hope. Now here's the reality: Even as we hope a
successful test-flight boosts Boeing shares next week, we
must prepare for a failure or cancellation that could send
Boeing into a tailspin. And even if the test goes well,
history suggests that 2010 will be turbulent in the extreme,
as Boeing races the clock to identify and
fix new issuesas they come to light.
Boeing books a win
What's an investor to do in the interim? Count your
blessings, and be thankful for good news from wherever it
hails. Last week, for example, we saw Boeing's Defense
division step into the breach with a $6.4 billion contract
win to build
"Growler" e-warfareplanes for the Navy. And this weekend,
Boeing's Civilian side booked a win of its own (and one that
should cheer parts suppliers
General Electric (NYSE: GE),
Spirit AeroSystems (NYSE: SPR), and
Honeywell (NYSE: HON).)
Just two months ago, we
booed Boeingfor taking $1 billion in charges for problems
with the 787's sister program, the 747-8 upgrade. Also a
cargo jet, the 747-8 has had difficulty selling itself to
passenger airlines, but on Friday, Boeing announced it sold
five more of the jets to Korean Air (its second such
passenger-version sale.)
The 747-8 isn't Boeing's biggest earner by a long shot. In
total, I suspect this sale will net less than $860 million in
revenues. But it should help recoup some of that $1 billion
charge, hastening the day when Boeing becomes profitable
again.
Hey, it's a start.
This article was originally published as
Boeing Gets Airborneon
Fool.com
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