They're at it again. Another airline, kicking sand in the
face of
Boeing (NYSE: BA) while it's down.
This summer, we saw Russia's nascent Rosavia holding
company try to
wheedle price concessionsout of Boeing by pitting it
against archrival Airbus in a classic bait-and-switch. The
bait: An offer of 50 "firm" orders for new aircraft, with a
potential 70 more orders to come. And the switch: Rosavia
wanted to pay no more than $50 million per plane, a
substantial discount off even the lowest list prices at
Boeing. At the time, I urged Boeing to walk away and refuse
to be lowballed. It didn't. And that seems to have lent
encouragement to ...
Ryanair, pirate of the skies!
This week, we learned that yet another major airline is
working to get Boeing to walk the plank on price concessions.
And if Boeing didn't feel capable of passing on Rosavia's
offer, there's little chance Boeing will walk away from
Ryanair 's gambit to grab price concessions
on a reported 200-airplane order.
The facts
Once again, we're talking Boeing 737s listed at $51
million and up. And once again, Boeing's being informed by a
customer that this bottom list price needs to be more
negotiable.
The argument
Granted, according to Ryanair's CEO, only "a very small
amount of money" is at issue -- but that's not keeping
Ryanair from playing hardball, taking its argument to the
press, and accusing Boeing of all sorts of things that give
shareholders the shivers. According to Ryanair, Boeing "isn't
prepared to share with us in the form of lower prices," and
is suffering from a "leadership vacuum," which makes it
impossible to know "who's making decisions there" -- the
implication being,
no oneis.
And what Boeing should do about it
But if you ask me, Boeing
ismaking a decision here -- and it's the right one.
Everyone knows the airplane industry is in a slump today. And
if you don't believe me,
refresh your memoryby reviewing recent earnings from
Textron (NYSE: TXT),
General Dynamics (NYSE: GD), or
Embraer (NYSE: ERJ). From small to large,
business jets to jumbo jets, international airplane sales
have hit a real pocket of turbulence.
Boeing's suffering, too, as margins at its Commercial
Aircraft division slip into the single digits. That's just
half the margin Boeing rakes in at its defense division. And
when you consider the amount of price pressure
the Pentagon's bringing to bearthere, Commercial
Aircraft's compressed margins stand out as especially
weak.
Ryanair seeks to take advantage of the situation by
publicly berating Boeing for its failure to secure a major
sale. But here's the thing -- a sale today is a sale that
won't happen tomorrow. (
Ford (NYSE: F) shareholders still
dancing in the streetsover yesterday's surprise
Profit-for-Clunkers, take note.) Why, I ask you, should
Boeing agree to earn low profit margins on 200 planes to be
sold today, when by waiting a few quarters, it might well be
able to sell the
sameplanes to Ryanair (or a different customer), for
a
higherprofit margin? Continued... |