Seems everywhere you look these days, there's robots.
Since conglomerates the likes of
General Electric (NYSE: GE) first introduced
us to them on the assembly line, robots have evolved into
something much more personable.
Honda 's (NYSE: HMC) built one that can walk,
and
Toyota (NYSE: TM) has another that can run.
Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG) just
reported another great quarter for
robotic doctors(even as
Hansen Medical admits it could use a robotic
accountant.)
Nowhere, though, is
our robotic futuremore evident than in the little sucking
hockey-pucks that personify
iRobot (Nasdaq: IRBT).
iRobot falls apart ...
For years, I've railed against
the unrealized potentialof iRobot. No matter how
ubiquitous its Roombas are in the living room, its PackBots
on the battlefield, the company always seemed better at
building robots than at managing its finances. As margins
dwindled, inventories ran wild, and iRobot resembled nothing
so much as a hapless Roomba, stuck chewing on a carpet fringe
and unable to make real headway.
... then pulls itself together
Recent quarters, however, have seen iRobot's financial
engineers begin to put the
pieces into placefor a recovery -- an effort that
continued into yesterday evening's third quarter earnings
release. Management's whittling down inventories and ramping
up free cash flow (which is standing at $21 million for the
year, and should surge higher after this holiday season
closes).
Whereas just a year ago, I was
musing publiclyabout the company's nearly empty coffers,
today iRobot boasts nearly $63 million in cash, versus a mere
$4 million in long-term liabilities.
How has iRobot achieved this neat feat? If you listen to
management, a big part of the improvement comes from ramping
sales of military robots to foreign theaters of war, and
another big part from expanding sales of "home robots"
internationally.
iWish iWas, homeward bound
If I have any reservations about the iRobot story,
though, they reside in that second point. International
Roomba/Scooba sales surged 55% in Q3, which would be grand
news but for one thing:
Totalsales of such mechanical domestic servants are
down17%, suggesting weak sales at U.S. distributors
like
Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) and
Sears (Nasdaq: SHLD).
Seems to me, the Great Recession is hindering iRobot's
efforts to sell glorified vacuum cleaners at $200-a-pop (or
more) here on the homefront. If the economy doesn't improve
soon, and more consumers
don't find jobs sooner, how will iRobot keep the profits
improving through Q4?
I don't know the answer. But one thing I do know: If
iRobot doesn't get its sales trends turned around soon, then
investors could be in for a
bleak Christmas.
This article was originally published as
Robots, Worldwideon
Fool.com
Copyright 2009 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights
reserved.
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