It's an interesting time for consumer-staples stocks,
Fools. Certain sector names have now outperformed the market
year to date --
J.M. Smucker (NYSE: SJM), for instance --
while laggards such as
Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) have badly
trailed the rally
andlost money for investors on an absolute
basis.
With that in mind, let's review the sector's recent
performance, to see whether further gains are the stuff of
Kool-Aid dreams or PB&J reality.
No-brainer buys long gone, but ...
Looking back to the March lows, the depth of the
market's fear was perhaps most clearly seen in the stocks of
historically stable packaged-foods producers such as
Kraft (NYSE: KFT) and
ConAgra (NYSE: CAG). The
price-to-sales ratioon these names dipped beneath 0.75,
to multiyear lows, reflecting expectations of widespread
deflation and a new consumer preference for bread-and-water
victuals.
For now, the days of extreme fear and remarkable buys are
a thing of the past, but as the table below indicates,
consumer-staples valuations appear far from stretched.
Company
YTD % Change
52-week % Change
Forward P/E
5-year Average P/E
ConAgra
31.5
20.6
12.0
16.2
J.M. Smucker
25.3
17.7
13.4
17.5
Energizer
22.0
12.1
11.1
16.2
Colgate-Palmolive (NYSE: CL)
15.6
26.6
16.6
22.8
Clorox
4.7
0.6
12.6
16.0
Kraft
0.7
(1.7)
12.7
18.9
Procter & Gamble
(7.1)
(7.0) Continued... |