With bang-up quarterly results pinned to its chest,
General Mills (NYSE: GIS) is currently
standing atop the packaged-foods industry. Its double-digit
gains in operating profit and earnings per share owe
partially to lower commodity costs, but smart management once
again played a key role -- supporting my upbeat view of the
company's long-term prospects.
It may look disappointing that revenue for first-quarter
fiscal 2010 rose only 1% to $3.52 billion. But the results
fill out when we consider that net sales in the year-ago
period shot up 14%, making for a difficult comparison. The
U.S. retail segment -- the company's largest division, and a
standout performer this quarter -- enjoyed a sales gain of
6%, driven by increased consumer demand. The Pillsbury line
posted particularly strong sales growth, followed by Big G
cereals and Yoplait yogurt products. Also, management cited
strong relationships with its retail partners, including its
largest customer,
Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT).
Earnings per share, meanwhile, came in at $1.25, up a
whopping 58% and exceeding management's expectations.
Excluding the effects of adjustments in the recently
completed and year-ago periods, EPS rose a still-impressive
33%.
As previously mentioned, lower commodity costs -- the same
trend that's
buffeting U.S. farmers and fertilizer names
PotashCorp (NYSE: POT) and
Agrium (NYSE: AGU) -- provided an automatic
margins boost. However, higher volumes -- a tribute to a
strong product portfolio -- drove plant efficiencies, and
favorable product mix also strengthened the bottom line.
Furthermore, as part of a proactive, companywide focus on
margins, management was able to leverage logistics upgrades
to reduce fuel usage, even as business ran hotter. It's
exactly this kind of vigilance that should help the company
outperform when corn, wheat, and other commodities retake an
upward trajectory.
The quarter did have some soggy spots, though. The
company's organics business, which includes the Cascadian
Farm and Muir Glen brands, saw sales fall 5%. With
private-label and store brands
muscling in on the organic front, the drop-off is
unsurprising. Still, if
Whole Foods ' (NYSE: WFMI)
recently improved performanceis any indication, the slump
may not last. But if not in organics, then increased
competition may arise in the cereal business: General Mills'
management speculated that weakness in
Ralcorp 's (NYSE: RAH) Post brand cereals
might only be temporary, which means that Big G had better
eat its Wheaties.
Ultimately, I'm not that worried. General Mills has a
number of recent product innovations to provide momentum,
including a low-calorie probiotic yogurt, which will likely
go head-to-head with
Danone 's (OTC: DANOY) DanActive yogurt.
Plus, the earnings beat is allowing management to plow
additional cash into an already bulked-up marketing
program.
As for the remainder of the year, management pegged
revised EPS guidance at $4.40 to $4.45 (excluding any
adjustments), up from the earlier expectation of $4.20 to
$4.25. Based on a $63 share price, that puts the current
fiscal year P/E at roughly 14.3 -- tasty eating, I'd say.
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This article was originally published as
General Mills: Lucky and Charmedon
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