Consumer stocks are now as risky as they've ever been.
Unemployment's historically high,
consumers are spooked, and subpar earnings abound, as
companies pay the price for lost competitive advantage or
fiscal irresponsibility. But tough times can offer investors
the best chance to buy stocks.Â
Even if stock prices are low, investors still need to be
careful. Many companies simply won't survive the recession in
their current form. However, thinning the herd of weaker
competitors should lead to big winners in the consumer space
when the economy recovers. In this article, I've
highlighted two reasons to love
ConAgra (NYSE: CAG), the producer of brands
such as Hebrew National, Parkay, and Healthy Choice.
Eat this!
It's true -- consumers will continue to grocery-shop no
matter how bad the recession gets, even if they have to
carpool, ride the bus, or heaven forbid,
walk. That adds a plateful of appeal to the packaged
foods sector. But beware: Buying habits have changed, even
when it comes to groceries.
And this, my fellow Fools, is reason No. 1 why
I consider ConAgra a winner. The company's product lineup
looks nicely balanced across premium and economy-priced
brands -- positioning it to capture the business of former
big spenders who are now dining at home, and the more tightly
pinched pennies of those who can no longer pony up for
premium brands. For example, it's got Orville Redenbacher as
a higher-priced popcorn play, but also Act II. In the
prepared meals category, certain consumers no doubt gravitate
toward ConAgra's revamped Healthy Choice brand, while others
reach for the ultra-popular Banquet name, where $1-and-up
entrees help keep the wolf from the door.
Volumes steady while valuation lags
Compelling point No. 2 in the case for ConAgra merges
company fundamentals with stock valuation. Of what do I
speak? Feast your eyes on the peer-comparisons below:
Company
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Forward P/E
Volume Performance*
ConAgra
$8.9 B
3.8%
11.6
flat**
H.J. Heinz (NYSE: HNZ)
$11.9 B
4.4%
12.7
(4.3%)
Kraft (NYSE: KFT)
$41.3 B
4.1%
13.2
0.2%***
General Mills (NYSE: GIS) Continued... |