Think the S&P 500's
eight-month, 57% rallyis safe? If you do, then you're in
the minority.
A recent Bloomberg survey found that only 31% of
respondents see investment opportunities; that's down from
35% in July. The picture is even worse in the U.S., where
more than 50% said they are breaking out the riot shields and
getting defensive.
Why all the worry? The pace and size of the rally is a big
factor, since valuations are suddenly nowhere near as
attractive as they were earlier this year. The memory of the
financial meltdown is also still fresh, leading many to look
at improving economic indicators with a
healthy dose of skepticism.
In the U.S. specifically, there is a lot of concern over
unemployment -- a quarter of the participants in the
Bloomberg survey see the U.S. unemployment rate at 11% or
more a year from now. And fretting over the
fate of the dollaris undoubtedly playing its part.
Add this all up and you've got a very uneasy market that
could get pessimistic enough to flip from rally to rout.
But now's hardly the time to start chewing your
fingernails and taking up afternoon drinking. There are some
simple things you can do to batten down your portfolio.
Sell now!
No, I don't mean everything. But many of us have stocks
that we've been holding onto for the wrong reasons. Maybe
it's the classic "just waiting to get back to even," or maybe
it's simply a case of portfolio paralysis. Whatever the case,
if there are stocks in your portfolio that you're unsure
about, now may be the
time to cut them loose.
Maybe it's a consumer stock like
Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN), whose valuation
makes you uneasy, or perhaps it's a financial like
Citigroup (NYSE: C), whose balance sheet
makes you want to cry. It can be tough enough to see a stock
decline when you have confidence in it, but there's little
solace when you're on the losing end of a stock you didn't
really believe in in the first place.
So go ahead, take a moment, be honest, and look through
your portfolio for stocks that you're holding for the wrong
reasons. I'll wait right here for you.
Buy now!
Back? OK, now that you've cut the fat from your
portfolio, it's time to get some stocks in there that are not
only well-positioned for the current market environment, but
also poised to
outperform over the long run.
One option is to look to large, stable companies that we
can depend on to perform regardless of what the economy is
doing. It doesn't hurt to add the additional criteria of a
decent dividend, so that you get paid no matter what the
market is doing.
Motley Fool Income Investor
picks
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) and
Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) are two great
examples in this category.
Another option is to follow the suggestion of those
Bloomberg poll-takers and scout out the emerging markets.
Bloomberg noted that respondents saw the most potential in
high-growth marketssuch as China, Brazil, and India.
Obvious large-cap options to tackle in these geographies
include
China Mobile in China,
Petrobras (NYSE: PBR) in Brazil, and
Infosys in India. Of course there are plenty
of lesser-known opportunities, like
China Marine Food Group -- a stock identified
by the
Motley Fool Global Gains
team -- that could be even better bets. Continued... |