Ever envision yourself making a picture-perfect call
similar to hedge fund manager John Paulson's
bet against housing and mortgagesin 2006?
If so, stop. Now.
Don't get me wrong -- there's plenty of money, bragging
rights, and personal satisfaction that come with making a
killer move like that. But it's important to remember that
hedge fund managers like Paulson have very different
motivations than we individual investors do.
Different how?
To start with, a lot -- if not most -- of the money
that big hedge fund managers put on the line isn't their own.
That's not to say that they're cavalier about how they invest
it; far from it. But the billions of dollars that these
investing rock stars are putting to work give them a shot at
making huge scores for themselves if their big bets pay
off.
In Paulson's case, that big score was an unbelievable $3.7
billion payday in 2007. Yeah, you read that right: $3.7
billion. While they may not be taking home paychecks
quite that large, the situation is similar for the
proprietary traders at
Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) who risk company
(read: shareholder) capital to try and make those huge
scores.
Payouts aside, a well-publicized big win for a hedge fund
manager can attract millions or even billions of new investor
capital that will boost the manager's personal bank account
in the future.
And we've seen in spades what can happen when these big
bets go awry. Traders inside
AIG 's (NYSE: AIG) financial products
division making big bets on derivatives nearly blew up the
entire company. Misguided strategies that bet big on the
mortgage market and derivatives ended Lehman Brothers and
Bear Stearns. It's also hard to forget about the calamities
at Amaranth Advisors and Long Term Capital Management. And
the list goes on.
Big bets and your future
In your investment portfolio you don't get paid based
on 2% of funds managed and 20% of gains. Nor do you benefit
from the so-called "trader's option," where short-term gains
can net big paydays (even if those bets cause massive losses
down the road), while big losses mean they simply switch
firms.
The majority of individual investors are investing for the
long term, whether to buy a house, pay for a child's college
education, or fund a comfortable retirement. A big bet that
sours in your portfolio and causes catastrophic losses can
take a heck of a long time to recover from -- if you recover
at all.
Hedge fund traders and managers that fail, on the other
hand, often find other opportunities open to them. Brian
Hunter, a trader who's been credited with Amaranth's $9
billion collapse, became an advisor to one of Peak Ridge
Capital's hedge funds after Amaranth sank into the abyss --
and is presumably back to making gobs of money for
himself.
We can't expect the same kind of institutional largesse if
we blow up our portfolios.
Better role models
We tend to talk a lot about
Berkshire Hathaway 's (NYSE: BRK-A) (NYSE:
BRK-B)
Warren Buffettand Fidelity Hall of Famer Peter Lynch.
Some folks may even say that we focus on them too much. Me? I
don't think we can focus on them enough. Continued... |