Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Matt Koppenheffer :: Townhall.com Columnist
Great Call on Xerox! What's Next?
by Matt Koppenheffer
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It was readily apparent Monday that investors disliked something about Xerox 's (NYSE: XRX) $6 billion deal(as announced) to buy Affiliated Computer Services (NYSE: ACS). Maybe it was the premium that Xerox was offering to pay for Affiliated's shares, or perhaps a lack of faith in the deal's strategic value for the copy machine pioneer. Either way, Xerox's stock was down 14% at the end of the day.

The move will have Xerox following in the footsteps of both Dell and Hewlett-Packard , which recently bought services businesses in hopes of kickstarting their underlying hardware businesses. But will Xerox's copycat move pay off?

For some help on that question, we can turn to the collective opinions of the Motley Fool CAPS community. As of yesterday, Xerox had a three-star rating (out of a possible five), suggesting that the community needed to see something more convincing out of Xerox's business or stock to get more interested in taking the plunge. We can see in the coming weeks whether the Affiliated deal bumps Xerox's stock into the upper echelons of the CAPS ratings.

Even with the current lackluster rating, there are CAPS members who have scored big points by betting on Xerox. Member istilldontcaregave Xerox the nod back in March, and has racked up 35 points on the stock as it gained more than 70% versus the S&P's 36% run.

istilldontcare is one of CAPS' All-Stars -- players with a rating of 80 or greater -- and has managed an impressive stock-picking accuracy of 63% while racking up more than 1,500 points. Xerox isn't this player's only great call. Here's a look at a few of the other prescient picks:

Company

Date Picked

Date Ended

Call

Points

CAPS Rating
(out of 5)

AMD

2/2/09

Still Open

Outperform

146

**

NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA)

10/10/08

Still Open

Outperform

112

****

Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS)

9/24/08

Still Open

Outperform

56

**

Data from CAPS.

So what has this investor been looking at more recently? Here are a few of the most recent calls on CAPS:

Company

Date Picked

Call

CAPS Rating
(out of 5)
Continued...

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About The Author

Matt Koppenheffer is a contributor to the Motley Fool.

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