We may just have turned an important corner in the
world of oil. No, I'm not referring to the price of crude
climbing back above $75 and likely headed higher. Rather, I'm
pointing to the pride-swallowing by several of the large
integrated oil companies, such that they apparently will soon
be among those working to develop Iraq's huge reserves.
At the end of June, Iraq's government
held a bidding sessionamong dozens of the world's largest
oil companies in an effort to gain help in breathing life
back into several previously developed fields. But the
country's terms were so onerous that
only one consortium-- led by
BP (NYSE: BP) -- walked away with an
agreement.
Rather than receiving a portion of the oil involved, as is
usually the case, the terms called for the companies to
receive a per-barrel fee for the amount they were able to
increase production in a given field. The companies were
looking for fees near $4.00 or more a barrel, approximately
twice the government's expectation. Given that discrepancy,
most of the companies, including
ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM),
Chevron (NYSE: CVX), France's
Total (NYSE: TOT), and China's
CNOOC (NYSE: CEO) all walked away without
deals.
But the Iraqi government and the companies
have continued to talk. As a result, it suddenly appears
that Exxon, along with a consortium that includes Italy's
Eni and
Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY), and another
comprised of
ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) and Russia's
Lukoil all are willing to "make do" with the
lower figure. Don't be surprised if they're joined by
others.
Why the reversal? Quite simply, ever since Saddam Hussein
nationalized the country's energy industry and booted out the
foreign companies in 1972, Iraq's reserves have been eyed
eagerly by the industry. Today, those reserves are thought to
total about 115 billion barrels, placing the country behind
just Saudi Arabia, Canada, and Iran.
But with vast areas still unexplored, some believe that up
to 150 billion more barrels may lie beneath Iraq's earth. As
such, it's obviously considered better to accept a lesser fee
now than to be excluded from these massive resources
forever.
In the years ahead, I believe that energy development in
Iraq is destined to explode. More immediately, crude prices
continue to march northward. As such, I urge you to make
certain that you're well represented in the sector. Careful
study will help you fill out your portfolio. Just don't get
caught shortin this important group.
For related Foolishness:
Eye on Insiders: ExxonMobil
5-Star Stocks Poised to Pop: Occidental Petroleum
Avoid This Big Oil Caboose
This article was originally published as
Big Oil Is Eating Crow in Iraqon
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