For the most part, the larger oil companies are relatively
similar. Of course someone has to bring up the rear, but
ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) has been doing it
in relatively dramatic fashion. The company, which last
quarter
finished at the endof the earnings growth parade, just
announced several plans to improve its returns.
Compared to its big oil peers Conoco just hasn't been able
to keep up. As all Fools know,
ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) leads the parade from
a size perspective, and can hold its own with any of the
others from a quality standpoint.
Chevron (NYSE: CVX) and
BP (NYSE: BP) are both solid companies; with
BP especially having improved its lot in the past couple of
years. It's difficult these days to pick up a newspaper and
not spy an article about yet another BP discovery.
Included in the Conoco's plans are the sale of about $10
billion in assets during the next couple of years, a 12% cut
in its capital spending next year to about $11 billion (which
works out to about a 23% pullback from 2008), while at the
same time bumping its quarterly dividend up to $0.50.
For several years Conoco has the been a major shopper
among the five super-majors, buying a fifth of Russia's
Lukoil five years ago, and then spending $35
billion for U.S. independent Burlington Resources. So while
ExxonMobil and Chevron have billions in cash -- Exxon
made news the other daywith a rare $4 billion acquisition
offshore Ghana -- Conoco would have to work to count up $1
billion from its own cash drawer. Its debt, however, is near
$30 billion. All this brings up some questions:
I wonder, for instance, why the company didn't attend to
its lopsided balance sheet sooner. And I'm confused about why
a company with so little cash it's
increasingits dividend. And finally, I still can't
rationalize why champion balance sheet reader Warren Buffett
chose to buy Conoco shares last year,
ultimately makinghis
Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A)(NYSE: BRK-B)
its biggest shareholder. Sure he got some tax losses out of
it, but that's going a bit far.
I suppose my only certainties at this point are to avoid
Conoco and, as crude inches up, keep your eyes fixed on the
others. Even more specifically, I'm a fan of Exxon, the
biggest of the big and maybe the best of the best.
For related Foolishness:
A Biofuel Shell-terÂ
Peak Gasoline Is Here
A Strong Chevron Should Remain That Way
This article was originally published as
You Need to Avoid This Big Oil Cabooseon
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