Despite the ripple recently when the Brazilian government
sought to win a bigger role in the country's pre-salt region,
primarily in the deepwater Santos Basin, events continue to
rock along in what has become one of the centers of the
energy universe.
The latest event in the area is an announcement by
Petrobras (NYSE: PBR) and the U.K.'s
BG Group that the Guara field likely contains
substantially more oil than had been thought. Following tests
by the trio of partners -- Petrobras has a 45% interest,
compared with BG's 30% and a 25% interest held by Spain's
Repsol (NYSE: REP) -- it now appears that the
field contains between 1.1 billion and 2 billion barrels of
oil. Original assumptions had pegged Guara at about 500 to
650 million barrels of oil equivalent.
Guara is located in the BM-S-9 block, an area where
Petrobras has drilledtwo previous wells and currently is
in the process of drilling yet another. As a result, the
amount of oil and gas trapped in the block could be higher
than thus far has been assumed.
The only fly in this ointment (at least for international
oil companies) is an indication that the nation's government,
under President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, has aspirations of
playing a bigger rolethrough Petrobras in the pre-salt. A
proposed set of rulesthat he has set forth would grant to
Petrobras sole operating rights in all pre-salt fields, and
the company would have at least a 30% interest in all joint
ventures in the basin. However, the rules might not get past
the country's legislators.
Nevertheless, as a result,
Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS-A)(NYSE: RDS-B)
has already determined not to spend more exploration money in
Brazil until the situation is resolved. And while the likes
of
ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM),
Anadarko (NYSE: APC), and
Hess (NYSE: HES)
remain activein the pre-salt, one can only wonder how
long that activity will continue if faced with more stringent
mandates.
At the same time, the positive news on the Guara field
makes me even more convinced that it'll be
difficult to top Petrobrasas an energy investment in the
years ahead. With the company planning to spend nearly $175
billion on exploration and production projects during the
next five years, and with its success in the pre-salt thus
far, it seems that Fools would be wise to salt away at least
a minimal position in the company's shares.
Motley Fool CAPSplayers have awarded a full five stars to
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your
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This article was originally published as
Don't Take Petrobras With a Grain of Pre-Salton
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