Things continue to worsen in the relationship between
Anglo-Australian
mining giant
Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) and the big Chinese
steelmakers. The relationship has descended to a cessation of
negotiations concerning prices for iron ore -- a key element
in the manufacture of steel. The round of negotiations began
months ago and now appears to have been brought to a
screeching halt.
As you recall, last year witnessed a tremendous run-up for
most commodity prices, only to see them suddenly roll over
and plunge back to earth. While this strange series of events
was occurring, the big three suppliers -- Brazil's
Vale (NYSE: VALE), Rio, and
BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP) -- got all they
could in levies from the Chinese, who account for roughly
half the world's steel production.
But when commodities began to roll over, the shoe was
suddenly on the other foot. And when this year's benchmark
iron ore price was being negotiated, the first deal occurred
between Rio and Japan's
Nippon Steel . It represented a 33% decline
from last year. Meanwhile, the Chinese were holding out for a
40%-45% drop. Indeed, even the world's
biggest steelmaker,
Arcelor Mittal (NYSE: MT), readily accepted a
lesser discount.
Obviously, China is trying to get its arms around as many
of the world's commodities as possible. Not long ago,
Aluminum Corp. of China (NYSE: ACH)
was unsuccessfulin upping a stake it holds in Rio.
Undeterred, China's buying spree continued on Tuesday with
the news that state-owned Guangdong Nuclear Power would
acquire interest in a uranium explorer, while a different
state-controlled company moved in on a pair of small iron-ore
miners.
Complicating matters in the meantime is Stern Hu, head of
Rio's iron ore operations in China, currently languishing in
a Chinese jail after being
charged with industrial espionage. When formal pricing
conversations will resume is anyone's guess. Until that
changes, the Chinese are buying Rio Tinto's iron ore on a
"provisional" basis, based on the Japanese discount
price.
From an investing perspective, my advice to Fools is to
keep a close eye on these
unfolding Chinese events. And beyond that, I continue to
look positively on Rio and BHP. As such, I don't think you
can go wrong with positions in either.Â
This article was originally published as
Giving China the Silent Treatmenton
Fool.com
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