If you've been watching Brazil, the
de factonew center of the energy universe since its
big Tupi field was discovered two years ago, you may want to
hone in even more closely on the goings on in the
country.
On Monday, after weeks of speculation about potential new
rules that would put the state oil company,
Petrobras (NYSE: PBR), in
a position as operatorof all the pre-salt oil fields,
President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva came forth with specific
proposals. Under a somewhat complicated plan designed to
increase the government's control over this promising area,
Petrobras would be the sole operator of all pre-salt fields
and would have at least a 30% interest in all joint ventures
in the area.
The pre-salt area extends about 500 miles along the
Brazilian coast, including Espirito Santo and Santa Catarina
states. Its oil is trapped beneath a thick layer of salt as
deep as 8,000 meters beneath the water's surface. The area
has been under increasing activity since the Tupi field was
first discovered in 2007.
Since that time, several other discoveries have confirmed
the existence of large amounts of oil in the pre-salt, much
of which is comprised of the Santos basin. The two most
prominent
deepwater drillers,
Transocean (NYSE: RIG) and
Diamond Offshore (NYSE: DO), each have
double-digit numbers of rigs working there for Petrobras and
others.
But with the government becoming more restrictive and the
new rules looming, Europe's largest oil company,
Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS-A), is pausing
further investments in Brazilian exploration until the impact
of the new regulation is clearer.
ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM),
Repsol (NYSE: REP),
Hess (NYSE: HES), and other companies that
have been
active in the pre-salthave been mum about their future
plans.
Indeed there are no guarantees that Lula's proposals will
become law. They may, in fact, be challenged in the country's
congress by a trio of opposition parties. And they come about
at a time when the Senate's President is facing corruption
charges that have been leveled by other senators.
Although Petrobras' share price has slid the past several
trading days, it remains the state oil company in an area
with vast amounts of petroleum. So while there may be
temporary consternation in the nation, it's difficult to see
how Petrobras can be a loser in the long term.
An amazing 98% of
Motley Fool CAPSplayers
expect Petrobras to outperform the market and have awarded
the company
a five-star
rating. Why not weigh in with your assessment on the
company?
This article was originally published as
Petrobras Still Can't Loseon
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