For the Iraqi government and its oil officials, this
week's events could be a classic case of "If at first you
don't succeed, try, try again."
Earlier this summer, the country's government conducted an
oilfield auction, inviting worldwide members of Big Oil
to help increase the output of a half-dozen of its already
developed oil fields and a couple of gas fields. The exercise
became a near-disaster.
Despite
dozens of oil companiesparticipating, including
ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM),
Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS-A), and
Chevron (NYSE: CVX), the government
ultimately awarded only one contract. That pact covered the
Rumaila field, Iraq's largest, and went to a team
headed up by
BP (NYSE: BP)
.
This next auction round has 45 companies prequalified to
participate. While they haven't been named as yet, it's
logical to assume that companies such as
CNOOC (NYSE: CEO),
Anadarko (NYSE: APC), and
BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP),
which participatedin the last round, have completed the
necessary steps for prequalification in this one. All are
meeting with Iraqi officials in Istanbul this week to be
briefed on the fields that will be part of the process.
A major difference between the two rounds involves the
next group of fields being as yet undeveloped, although there
would appear to be a possibility that the fields not awarded
in the first round could be reentered in the next session.
The auction itself is expected to occur before the end of the
year, and it will likely result in 20-year contracts. Winning
bidders almost certainly would be paid a fee for each barrel
of oil they produced from the fields.
Now that U.S. troops have left Iraq's urban areas, the
recent surge of sectarian violence gripping some parts of the
country could be a major concern. Last week alone, bombings
killed more than 100 people in Baghdad. As such, I wouldn't
be surprised to see companies either begin to exit the
process out of concern for the safety of their employees and
contractors, or at least demand higher fees to compensate for
the increased danger.
The key for Fools, especially with crude prices creeping
up, is to watch these big companies carefully. I'm
partial to Exxon, but I'm becoming more convinced that
there will be money to be made in the near term from most of
the integrated players.
Motley Fool CAPSplayers have awarded ExxonMobil four
stars out of a possible five. Why not go and signal your
thumbs up or down
on the
company?
This article was originally published as
Who Will Win Iraq's Untapped Oil Resources?on
Fool.com
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