Friday, October 09, 2009
Dan Caplinger :: Townhall.com Columnist
These 3 Lessons Will Bring You a Richer
by Dan Caplinger
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We all know what we're supposedto doduring a bear market. But until you've actually beenin that situation, you don't really know what it takes to pull the trigger and put real money at risk -- especially at times when every instinct you have is telling you that you're throwing that money away.

Now, battle-tested investors have a full-fledged big bad bear under their belts. We all went through last year's financial crisis, two big dips in the stock market in November and March, and the incredible rallyfrom those lows. We've seen threats from both deflationary and inflationary pressures. And although plenty of challenges still face the economy, such as an escalating loss of confidence in the dollar, few people are still worried about a complete systemic breakdown of the entire financial system.

As an investor, you'll face moments of panic and euphoria countless times in the future. Ideally, you'll use your experiences over the past year as a learning tool for how to handle your investments the next time around. Here are three things you can take from the financial crisis and the ensuing recovery.

1. You won't know the bottom when it comes.
One of the first things you learn in investing is to buy low and sell high. However, that maxim neglects to mention that during bear markets, there's always a perfectly plausible reasonwhy stocks are low -- and why you shouldn't buy them. Last November, executives from Ford (NYSE: F), GM , and Chrysler were asking the government for bailout money, while lawmakers and economists were still trying to figure out exactly what the recently approved TARP program was supposed to do.

Meanwhile, in March, Warren Buffett had announced that the economy had "fallen off a cliff;" at the same time, the World Bank was predicting a global contraction. Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) had to resort to issuing debt backed by the FDIC to raise capital.

At either of those points, it seemed downright likely that stocks would keep falling. But each of those times turned out to be great buying opportunities. There was simply no way you could have known that at the time.

The key, therefore, is not to try to guess the exact bottom. Instead, if you commit your capital gradually over time, you'll get someof your money in near the bottom. And while you won't get the absolute best returns possible, you'll still do pretty well.

2. Any stocks can become good values.
Over the past six months, companies like Citigroup (NYSE: C), MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM), and AIG (NYSE: AIG) have taken a lot of heat for benefiting from the " junk rally" in stocks. Yet while it's interesting that speculative stockshave done so well, it shouldn't be surprising.

In March, many risky stocks were priced for absolute failure. With the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the impending bankruptcies of GM and Chrysler, it seemed that no company was completely safe from utter collapse. Investors bid down shares accordingly.

Yet as it turned out, those moves were a complete overreaction. Once it became clear that those companies wouldn't immediately shut down despite the financial straits they were in, their stocks took off. Most of them still trade at levels far below where they were two or three years ago. But despite the risk involved, they were priced so low at the time that investors comfortable with that risk stood to make big gains -- and did. Continued...

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About The Author

Dan Caplinger is a contract writer for The Motley Fool.

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