After a recession that has seen
millions lose their jobsand has cost investors trillions
of dollars, the
early signs of recoverythat have appeared in recent
months have nearly everyone hoping for economic growth.
Investors, though, need to remember that the end of the
recession will change the environment they've lived with for
years now. As a result, you'll want to make some financial
moves to take maximum advantage of a better economy.
Be ready for rising rates
In particular, a stronger economy will inevitably put
upward pressure on interest rates. Although Fed chairman
Ben Bernanke has said repeatedly that the Fed doesn't plan to
tighten monetary policy prematurely, a strong recovery will
inevitably create inflationary pressures that will force the
Fed's hand.
Higher rates will have major implications both for your
personal finances and for some of the investments you make.
So rather than expecting today's low rates to last forever,
take a look at these three things and make sure you're ready
for what's coming.
1. Lock in low rates on debt.
Right now, interest rates on loans are as attractive as
they've been in years.
Mortgage ratesare again near historic lows, with 30-year
mortgages averaging just over 5%. Compare that to 2007, when
rates were nearly 1.5 percentage points higher, and you'll
see just how cheap mortgage loans are.
When rates rise, though, those cheap mortgages will
disappear in a hurry, and you can also expect to pay more on
everything from credit card debt to car loans. So, while the
days of using ever-increasing home equity to finance a lavish
lifestyle are over, anyone who still has a high-rate mortgage
should take every step possible to
refinance to a lower rate.
2. Keep your cash liquid.
The situation is much different for savers. Those with
money in the bank have seen rates on one-year CDs fall from
over 5% in 2007 to under 2% today. Even those willing to
commit their money for longer periods of time aren't seeing
big rewards; the average five-year CD yields just 2.87%. And
even the top deals from institutions like the bank units of
Discover Financial (NYSE: DFS) and
AIG (NYSE: AIG) can't break the 3.5% level on
a five-year CD.
If interest rates rise, you'll regret having locked up
your money in a long-term CD. Right now, you're not getting
enough extra return to justify the risk of seeing rates go
up. If you
invest in shorter-term CDsor even bank savings accounts,
you may earn less money now, but you'll be in a position to
reap the benefits of higher rates immediately when they
come.
3. Watch out for rate-sensitive stocks.
Interest rates don't just affect fixed-income
investments. They can also have a big impact on the stocks
you own.
For example, some stocks are particularly sensitive to
rising interest rates. Banks like
Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) and
US Bancorp (NYSE: USB) earn much of their
profits from the spread between the rates they pay on deposit
accounts versus what they make from long-term loans. So, if
short-term rates rise without a corresponding increase in
longer-term rates, then that spread narrows, hurting profit
margins. Continued... |