To investors' delight, the topsy-turvy company that
Celgene (Nasdaq: CELG) has become was more
topsy than turvy in the third quarter.
Revenue was up 17% year over year -- compared to just a
10% gain
last quarter-- thanks to expansion of Revlimid into
additional countries.
Gone are the days when Celgene was the envy of large drug
companies and routinely made
best-stock lists. OK, so even a 10% revenue gain would be
welcome at
Pfizer (NYSE: PFE),
Merck (NYSE: MRK), or
GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK), but I think it's
safe to assume that the days of seemingly routine 50%-60%
revenue growth are over for Celgene.
That doesn't mean that Celgene or its top seller,
Revlimid, are likely to slow down too much. The company
released top-line results in July that support Revlimid being
used earlier in the progression of multiple myeloma and
Celgene expects to present the full data at a medical
conference in December.
Revlimid is already used off-label in the U.S. for newly
diagnosed patients, but the trial data should lead to label
changes that will allow the company to promote it as a
first-line treatment. That will be especially helpful in
Europe, where it's not used to treat newly diagnosed
patients.
Revlimid is becoming the drug of choice for doctors who
treat multiple myeloma. The continued sales growth is one
indication, but here's a more qualitative sign:
Onyx Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: ONXX) is
planning on testing its
newly acquiredmultiple myeloma drug in combination with
Revlimid. To maximize sales, it only makes sense to test the
drug as an add-on therapy with the standard-of-care drug.
Trading at about 27 times this year's expected adjusted
earnings, Celgene's
valuationis still on the topsy side. Even though the
company has had a rough transition from a hyper-growth
company to a solid-growth company, it still deserves a slight
premium on its peers if for no other reason than because
Celgene has shown that it can kick it into overdrive.
This article was originally published as
Not 50% Growth, but We'll Take Iton
Fool.com
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