Genzyme 's (Nasdaq: GENZ) manufacturing
issues just won't go away. Four months after the company
announcedthat it had shut down a manufacturing plant
because of viral contamination, it's still dealing with the
aftermath.
The plant is sanitized and back up and running, but the
damage is done. Sales of Cerezyme and Fabrazyme, which both
treat rare genetic disorders, have both been affected, since
inventories couldn't keep up with demand. Even the fourth
quarter will take a hit, since Genzyme doesn't expect to
resume shipping Cerezyme until late next month, and Fabrazyme
in late December.
Not surprisingly, the company slashed full-year adjusted
guidance from $2.35-$2.90 per share to around $2.26. By
comparison, adjusted earnings per share for 2008 were
$4.00.
The question now is whether Genzyme is a
bad-news buyor not. Shares are down 22.5% this year,
substantially worse than
Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), which announced an
acquisition that many weren't thrilled about, and
Amgen (Nasdaq: AMGN), which has seen
declining sales and pipeline delays. In contrast, Genzyme's
manufacturing delays are more of a one-time issue.
Maybe.
Both
Shire (Nasdaq: SHPGY) and
Protalix BioTherapeutics (NYSE: PLX) are
developing treatments that will compete against Cerezyme. In
the wake of the shortages, the Food and Drug Administration
gave them the green light to sell the drugs before they were
approved. Genzyme essentially gave its competition a big head
start on a lot of free publicity among patients, which could
affect Cerezyme sales once the drugs are approved.
I think investors have probably overreacted slightly, but
management will still have to deliver -- for instance, by
getting approval for the
long-awaitedlarger manufacturing scale of its Myozyme
drug -- before investors come back in
droves.
This article was originally published as
The Gift That Keeps on Givingon
Fool.com
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