Revenue up 31%. Earnings per share excluding one-time
items up 42%. No, this isn't a flashback to the tech boom.
These are results from yesterday.
The strong double-digit growth shouldn't be much of a
surprise, though:
Gilead Sciences ' (Nasdaq: GILD) HIV patients
need their medication even if there's a recession going on.
Leading the pack (up 42%) was Atripla, its triple-combination
product that contains
Bristol-Myers Squibb 's (NYSE: BMY) Sustiva
and Gilead's Viread and Emtriva. At the present pace, Atripla
should catch its two-in-one little brother, Truvada, fairly
soon.
HIV isn't the only virus benefiting Gilead. The influenza
virus helped the bottom line through royalties on sales of
Tamiflu by Roche. The swine flu helped add an additional $105
million in royalties compared with last year. Here's the best
part: Gilead records royalties in the quarter after Roche
records the sales, so the extra bump in royalties will keep
coming in long after the last swine flu victim has
recovered.
Gilead is expanding outside of the virus-killing business
with two cardiovascular drugs on the market. Sales of
Letairis increased 9% quarter over quarter and Ranexa sales
increased 18% over the second quarter. Annualize those out
and you get some nice-looking growth rates.
However, both drugs' sales are closer to rounding errors
in the $1.8 billion revenue number than blockbusters in their
own right. The big move into cardiovascular could come from
darusentan, Gilead's blood pressure medication for
patients who can't control it with other medications like
AstraZeneca 's (NYSE: AZN) Zestril,
Merck 's (NYSE: MRK) Cozaar, or
Pfizer 's (NYSE: PFE) Norvasc. Data from a
second phase 3 trial is expected in the next few months.
Despite the strong performance, investors weren't all that
impressed, sending the stock down 3% today. I'll concede that
the growth isn't as high as it was in the past -- revenue
grew 55% per year from 2002-2007 -- but Gilead isn't as
richly valued today as it was back then either. If Gilead can
keep the growth of current products steady and work other
compounds, like its
partnershipwith
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), through
the pipeline, this looks like a nice entry point for
investors.
This article was originally published as
Double-Digit Growth in a Recessionon
Fool.com
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