Let's solve a riddle together, dear Fool.
TTM Technologies (Nasdaq: TTMI) is up nearly
15% today. It's one of the biggest gains of the day, behind
the 24% buyout premium enjoyed by
IMS Health (NYSE: RX), the 15% gain fueled by
estimate-stomping results from
Lamar Advertising (Nasdaq: LAMR), and a 14%
jump after
Blue Coat Systems (Nasdaq: BCSI) announced an
acquisition and a new long-term strategy that should drive
more revenue growth and profitability.
All valid reasons for a hefty stock price gain. But TTM
had none of the above.
The circuit board manufacturer, named for its ability to
churn out products on a short “Time to
Market†timeline, reported satisfactory
third-quarter results but no earth-shattering greatness.
Sales came in at $139 million, 3.7% below the previous
quarter. Backing out one-time charges mostly related to
closing a couple of underperforming factories, TTM saw a net
profit of $0.13 per share, down from pro forma earnings of
$0.19 per share a quarter ago.
These results for this longtime
Stock Advisor
recommendation were in line with management guidance, and
Wall Street analysts were expecting to see another couple of
pennies on the bottom line. Guidance for the next quarter was
in line to slightly higher than the average analyst had
expected. But you can't argue with the market: That 14% jump
comes from
somewhere.
It's not the lukewarm results TTM reported. It can't be
the optimistic but expected guidance, either. And if there's
a sector effect today, TTM is more likely
causingthan riding it: None of the company's
traditional rivals, such as
Flextronics (Nasdaq: FLEX), have announced
anything big the last few days, but they're all riding TTM's
coattails to more modest gains.
The only conclusion left in the hat is management
comments. And there, CEO Kent Alder delivered. "We are
encouraged by the improvement in demand we are experiencing
in our PCB [printed circuit board] business," he said,
pointing to especially strong orders from commercial
customers. That means a little less defense action from the
likes of
Raytheon (NYSE: RTN) but more business from
less government-beholden customers like
Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO). And that shift
in TTM's order mix is just in time for the holidays.
This still sounds more like a condition that's more
specific to TTM than sector-wide, but Mr. Market took it a
different way.
TTM is small, pretty obscure unless you're into
circuit-board geekery, and certainly underfollowed. That
makes it
a perfect candidate for mispricing and misunderstandings.
You missed that 14% bounce if you're buying today, not to
mention an 84% one-year gain. But with
a lot of restructuring movesin the
rearview mirror, I think the best is still to come for
TTM. Or maybe something hidden could be in play here. Rumors
of buyouts can also push small stocks like TTM higher in a
hurry.
We need some fresh discussion on this
lamentably ignoredstock. Please share your thoughts on
the quarter, or on TTM in general, in
the stock's CAPS comments. That way, we'll know where to
find your input the next time we need it.
This article was originally published as
Why Is This Little Stock Soaring Today?on
Fool.com
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