If you missed
Houselast week (postseason baseball games shouldn't
be allowed to go to extra innings!), you can go get your
sarcastic fix on Hulu.com today. The site offers up entire
episodes of your favorite TV shows
as ad-supported online streams, and you don't even have to
remember whether
Houseruns on Fox,
CBS (NYSE: CBS), or NBC. (It's on Fox, for
the record.)
The end is nigh
Enjoy it while you can, Fool. Hulu may soon be a
pay-for-play site. Today's convenient, all-you-can-eat
destination for on-demand streams for free would then become
a thing of the past. In fact, Hulu itself would ride into the
sunset to sit down with Pocahontas and Marlon Brando and
discuss how one of the Web's busiest sites suddenly hit a
wall and became a footnote in media history.
Hulu is owned by a media consortium that includes
News Corp. (NYSE: NWS),
Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS), and
General Electric (NYSE: GE) joint venture NBC
Universal. News Corp COO Chase Carey says that Hulu's paid
model might show up as early as next year. Judging by these
comments, it looks like Hulu's advertising ain't paying the
bills here. We've heard that song before in relation to
Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) and YouTube -- though
I'm pretty sure that YouTube is a
secret money maker. Google can play a mean game of
lowball, too.
The stakes
Consumers clearly crave easy access to their favorite
TV shows, or Hulu wouldn't get any
traffic. But that's not the case today. Hulu attracts more
visitors than any of the networks' sites and runs
neck-and-neck with
Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX), according to
Amazon.com's (Nasdaq: AMZN) Alexa traffic
yardstick.
On-demand television services are the future, if you ask
me. Each of the Big Four networks except Fox has decent
on-demand offerings through my cable box, and Hulu would lose
a lot of its sex appeal if consumers only knew about this
resource. Hulu is merely a stopgap solution that serves as a
centralized media destination until the one in our cable
boxes becomes truly usable. Today's on-demand menus are often
confusing, they react slowly to the commands from your
remote, and some of the content I want isn't on there at all.
(Hey, Fox, I'm talking to you!)
Many fanatical TV fans still don't know what
content on demandis, how to use it, or how it would make
their lives easier. Until Big Media starts pushing their
on-demand offerings for real, and I mean both by improving
the service and by telling everyone that it exists, we still
need something like Hulu. And it needs to be free.
Don't do it, Captain!
If Hulu goes through with this harebrained plan, it
will become a niche player at best. That's if the site
provides fancy new features to paying customers like no ads,
premium shows you can't get on Hulu today, or backrubs from
the stars of
The Girls Next Door. Even then, Hulu will not be the
fairly mainstream power player it is today. To stay relevant
to the mass market, Hulu needs to stay free.
"
Free!" is a powerful marketing tool, and I'm not sure
Hulu would be this popular if we had to pay for the pleasure.
As it stands, Hulu deflects plenty of
would-be piratesfrom total freeloading to giving the
studios at least some chance to grab a few advertising
dollars. Pulling down the iron curtain of paid content would
likely drive many Hulu users back into piracy. All these
users want is a no-brainer way to watch the shows they missed
or can't otherwise get. I guess we'll see next year, as TV
show piracy spikes and Hulu drops off the map.
Do you think Hulu would survive as a pay service? Throw
your $0.02 in the comments box below, will ya?
This article was originally published as
How Hulu Plans to Wreck Itselfon
Fool.com
Copyright © 2009 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights
reserved.
|