When
Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO) announced that
it wanted to
buy video conferencing expert
Tandberg , the market barely shrugged. The
largest independent competitor in that space after the
Cisco-Tandberg marriage is
Rule Breakersrecommendation
Polycom (Nasdaq: PLCM), and that stock hardly
moved on news that Cisco is moving further into its space in
a big way.
But perhaps Mr. Market was just waiting for an excuse to
punish Polycom. When the company reported third-quarter
earnings last night, sales came in at $243 million, a 5%
sequential increase but 12% year-over-year fall. Non-GAAP
earnings landed at $0.31 per share. Both metrics met or beat
analyst expectations. But Polycom's stock price fell 17%
overnight anyway. Ouch!
Analysts poured an avalanche of Tandberg-related questions
over Polycom's management team in the earnings call, and came
away with a cheerful spin on the situation more often than
not. CEO Robert Hagerty said that the buyout probably will
confuse Tandberg's and Cisco's
TelePresencecustomers: "Is it going to be the Cisco
solution? Is it going to be the Tandberg solution?
… And which investments should you be
making? I think the right answer is Polycom is the
stabilizing force with superior innovation, a real strong
platform. We want to get that message out."
Hagerty waxed poetic about Polycom's unique position as
the last real alternative to the upcoming Cisco dominance,
and mused about partnering up with someone like
Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) or
Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) to present a
Unified Communicationssolution for businesses large and
small. Polycom works on open standards and can provide the
technology that ties together diverse communications
infrastructures from vendors like HP,
IBM (NYSE: IBM), Microsoft, and yes,
Cisco.
You may have heard this argument before when enterprise
messaging vendor
Tibco Software (Nasdaq: TIBX) presented
itself as
the Switzerland of the data center. In that scenario, the
looming behemoths are
Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL) and IBM. When Polycom
faces off against Cisco, it's the same idea applied to a
different market.
Maybe Polycom's proclamations of strength came across as a
little bit too earnest, or even desperate. Mr. Market didn't
seem to believe any of it. If Cisco is setting up to
monopolize Polycom's largest market, then the drop was
justified. But if you believe that the sector needs Polycom's
vendor-neutral technical glue, this could be an awesome
buy-in opportunity.
Me, I think Polycom shares suddenly look cheap. The
comments box below is dying to hear your take.
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