OK, Fools --
Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD) has
reported target-crushing sales and earnings,
just as I expected. And AMD shares fell 5% on the news.
Feel free to
build a position in AMD, now that
we've got all that out of our way.
You could say that AMD got the price appreciation it
deserves on Wednesday,
riding the coattailsof archrival
Intel (Nasdaq: INTC). Today's drop simply
snaps the market back to reality again. And I'm serious about
the buy-in opportunity here, because I think Mr. Market's
counterintuitive reaction to AMD's report is a myopically
shortsighted one. In the long term, this stock has a lot of
room to run.
AMD reported $1.4 billion of third-quarter revenue, or 18%
growth from the second quarter. An $0.18 net loss per share
easily trumped last quarter's $0.49 loss per share -- and
both the graphics and CPU divisions reported positive
operating earnings this time. Average selling prices per
microprocessor went up, the manufacturing arm is getting more
efficient, and AMD's tight rein on operating expenses has put
the company on track for bottom-line profits in our
lifetime.
The product pipeline is showing muscle, too: The Radeon HD
5000 line of graphics processors are crushing the best
NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA) has to offer, and the
six-core Istanbul server chip now makes up one-third of AMD's
server sales to the big-iron builders like
IBM (NYSE: IBM) and
Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ). Plus, CEO Dirk
Meyer expressed confidence that the
long-awaited Fusion brain-plus-graphics productwill ramp
up in the second half of 2010 using the next-generation
32-nanometer
manufacturing process.
Outgoing CFO Bob Rivetsaid that AMD is "operating at a
grounded and sustainable business model, the benefits of
which will be amplified with the return to normal IT spending
in the commercial sector." When
Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) releases Windows 7
later this month, there should be a modest rise in chip sales
-- but management still set very modest expectations for
sales growth.
CEO Dirk Meyer believes that Microsoft's
upgrade couponsfor today's Vista machines should smooth
out the effect of Windows 7 upgrades on system sales, and
guides sequential growth to just below the normal 9% level.
And this cautious outlook could be the reason behind the
price drop. In the words of the market,
“Beat the Street all you want, but don't
you dare set our
short-term expectationstoo low!â€
Meyer's view on that issue echoes the
long-term mindsetof leaders like
Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO) CEO John
Chambers. Meyer plainly stated, "I personally don't see much
reason to signal anything stronger than we said. I'd rather,
you know, beat our numbers."
Is this the right time to buy AMD? The comments box is
waiting below, whether you agree or just want to call me an
AMD fanboy. Have at it!
This article was originally published as
Did AMD Deserve This Drop?on
Fool.com
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